Over the years, there have been all kinds of articles of this ilk and when there is rain or cold weather the totals typically are lowered and college football bettors play UNDER’s.
Anyone even halfway interested in making winning college football picks knows and understands this. Instead, let’s be more specific about different weather conditions and how to view possible outcomes on totals.
In the South, particularly in September and at least halfway through October, heat and humidity are a big issue. The teams playing in those conditions have less of a problem because they practice in it every day and their bodies have adjusted. If they have a non-conference conflict with an opponent from the Midwest, East or Northwest, especially in late September, they would have edge later in a game, since the opposing cannot recreate that atmosphere, being most likely a month removed from those kinds of temperatures.
This is not something most oddsmakers from sportsbooks will build into a total, but it would be at the forefront in setting side action.
Here is very specific instance where weather in the south can be a factor and the sports bettor can take advantage of on totals.
Take a team like Alabama last year with a strong running game and having explosive element where a running back can go the distance. As most know, it take more effort to play defense than offense and if a team lacks depth in the defensive line, they are usually going to wear down anyway versus a stronger foe. Now add in the temperatures and humidity taking a physical and mental toll and say Alabama is holding a 28-13 lead in the fourth quarter with a total of 53. The fresher Crimson Tide’s offense starts to roll and they score two quick touchdowns due to missed tackles caused by fatigue and that OVER bet made is a winner.
Watch for stellar and game-changing run game against opponent who is weaker against the run and lacks depth, setting up potential OVER plays, particularly totals of 55 or less.
Because you will find college football odds during the regular season only until the first weekend in December, it is rare to have really cold weather games, except the occasional cold snap that might occur in the Northeast or upper Midwest. However, that has more to do with temperature drops than really cold temps, because anyone who ever played football understands 25 to 30 degrees while cold, is not that bad and you sweat far less. It is more the announcers whining about chill temperatures in open booths.