For line moves, we are going to go out on a limb for tomorrow Game 3 in the Stanley Cup Finals and call this as an official play. Early signs also look like Sunday NBA Finals Game 2 total could go lower, already down a point, but this is a little early to forecast that number. Otherwise, baseball is what we have for the weekend. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (138-94, 59.6% of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here next week.
MLB – (775) MINNESOTA at (776) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 ET FSNO, FSW
Everyone betting baseball realizes the Twins Kyle Gibson (1-4, 7.85 ERA) is having a brutal year. Yet despite this, Minnesota is a crumbling underdog from +135 to under +115. The most obvious reasons for the alteration are no Mike Tout for the Angels the awesome road record for the Twinkies at 15-5. However, I still believe Gibson is a problem and the Halos JC Ramirez (5-3, 3.38) has performed quite well and he the teammates have won five of his last six starts. On yea, one more prediction, Albert Pujols hits No. 600 tonight.
Betting Trend – 83% backing Minnesota
Doug’s VPID Take – Los Angeles wins
NHL – Saturday – (5) PITTSBURGH at (6) NASHVILLE 8:00 ET NBCSN
Nashville was released as a -142 home favorite and went as low as -130 before rising to around -133, depending on the sportsbook. While the public will assume the Predators are in a – must win – situation, Pittsburgh has more ways to create offense and has had the better goaltending in the series. Look for more Penguins money close to game time and expect to see the Preds at -120 to -125. If you like Pitt, better grab them now, otherwise, be patient and take Nashville late at better odds.
Betting Trend – 94% backing Nashville
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Nashville
MLB – HOUSTON (-160) at TEXAS (+135) (Series Betting)
Houston has been the best team in baseball all year and deserves to be favored. Game 1 is a notable pitching matchup of Dallas Keuchel and Yu Darvish. The Astros have the edge in Game 2 with Lance McCullers Jr. facing Andrew Cashner and the series finale is close to a tossup. One can make a convincing case for the Rangers since they have 16 of past 20 at home against Houston. Yet if the games are close, which is possible, the ‘Stros bullpen ranks 4th in the AL and Texas is at 14th.
Betting Trend – 75% backing Houston
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Houston
MLB – COLORADO (-160) at SAN DIEGO (+135) (Series Betting)
These odds are lower than anticipated. The explanation is San Diego just swept the World Series champions and they have won four straight and seven of 10. There is no doubting who has the better team and Colorado is19-9 on the road. All things being equal, the starting pitching matchups are not that one-sided, though the Rockies hurlers have the potential to be better long term. San Diego has won 14 of last 22 at Petco, I’m just not sure the Friars can contain this offense.
Betting Trend – 87% backing Colorado
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Colorado
MLB – TAMPA BAY (+100) at SEATTLE (-120) (Series Betting)
Not everyone will know this. Who has the second-best starting pitching based on ERA in the AL, wait for it…….Tampa Bay. In addition, the Rays offense has been producing, averaging 6.0 RPG in their last seven contests. Tampa Bay everything required to win this series over Seattle.
Betting Trend – 60% backing Seattle
Doug’s VPID Take – Tampa Bay wins
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 122-128-8 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 73-71-3 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 191-185-11 ATS