It’s Friday in the summertime and you know what that means, looking at a couple of line moves for today and perusing some series wagering. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (188-145) to see what we are thinking. See you back here next week.
MLB – (957) CHIC. CUBS at (958) MILWAUKEE 8:10 ET CSN+, FSWI
No two ways about, a very big series in Brew City, with the two best clubs in the NL Central. The second half starts by both teams has caused a switch in the standings, with Chicago climbing into first place. The betting action is on the total, lowered from 9.5 to 9, with Jose Quintana (6-8, 4.22 ERA) off to a great start with his new club. Milwaukee counters with surprising Brent Suter (1-1, 2.60), whose done extremely well. Because I have conflicting information on what side to choose, I will lean with Quintana being 11-2 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher the last three seasons.
Betting Trend – 62% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
MLB – (959) ARIZONA at (960) ST. LOUIS 8:15 ET FSAZ, FSMW
Though Arizona’s Robbie Ray (9-5, 3.15) was not at his best in last start, he’s still had a fine season and he will do battle with the Cards Michael Wacha (7-4, 3.93), who had been brilliant over his past four starts before the Cubs got him last Sunday night. Those betting baseball are presuming both will be in top form and lowered the total from 8.5 to 8. One of my systems is up over 25 units on totals this season and has this as an OVER, which is good enough for me.
Betting Trend – 81% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
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MLB – ATLANTA (-110) at PHILADELPHIA (-110) (Series Betting)
As bad a Philadelphia has played, they have won five of seven against Atlanta. In looking over the pitching matchups, the Braves will probably be favored in each contest, yet the Phillies have won two of three series, should have the confidence in taking on Atlanta and might pull this off.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Atlanta
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Philadelphia
MLB – COLORADO (+130) at WASHINGTON (-150) (Series Betting)
At one juncture Colorado was a blazing 24-10 on the road, but since that point they are 3-16. After being swept at St. Louis, the Rockies will try and find answers in Washington. Because the Nationals have lost 40 percent of their starting rotation for the time being, Colorado will have a chance to take the series, however, their meager road showings and the Nats bats getting hot has me taking Washington.
Betting Trend – 98% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take – Washington wins
MLB – BALTIMORE (+110) at TEXAS (-130) (Series Betting)
Texas will certainly have the motivational edge, having dropped four in a row at Baltimore earlier this month. In terms of what matters, do you bet against the AL’s worst starting pitching staff (Orioles) or the No.12 bullpen in the Rangers? Chris Tillman and Andrew Cashner favors Texas in opener. The other two games seem very tight with Kevin Gausman vs. Austin Bibens-Dirkx in the middle contest and Wade Miley against the Martin Perez in the finale. (The last game just wreaks of an OVER) Let’s call on the Rangers to get their revenge, at least partially and take the series.
Betting Trend – 50-50 split
Doug’s VPID Take – Texas wins
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 146-164-8 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 101-82-3 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 231-224-11 ATS