It’s the weekend, so our line moves report will focus on baseball, both for games and series wagering. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (181-137), to see what we are thinking. See you back here Tuesday.
MLB – (925) BOSTON at (926) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 ET NESN, FSW
One aspect of the total jumping from 8 to 8.5 makes all the sense in the world with Ricky Nolasco (4-10, 4.82 ERA) pitching for the Angels. Nolasco has been pitching in feast or famine mode and based on recent outings, is due to get blown up again. However, Chris Sale (11-4, 2.59) will toe the slab for Boston and besides being outstanding this season, he is 5-0 with a 1.45 ERA against the Halos. I’m inclined to think UNDER in this spot and the Angels are 9-1 UNDER at home vs. teams outscoring the opposition by 0.5 or more runs a game in the second half of the season since last year.
Betting Trend – 97% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
MLB – (927) N.Y. YANKEES at (928) SEATTLE 10:10 ET YES, RTNW
Beating Felix Hernandez at home had to be a huge boost for New York and that has carried over to backers, who have pushed the Yankees from +106 to -120 favorites. Watched CC Sabathia (8-3, 3.54) in his last outing and his breaking pitches really snapped and he has a good history versus Seattle at 13-6 with a 2.64 ERA in 26 starts. The Mariners will counter with rookie right-hander Andrew Moore (1-1, 5.25), but I’m just not sure the M’s can pull this one out.
Betting Trend – 80% backing New York
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean New York
MLB – TEXAS (+120) at TAMPA BAY (-140) (Series Betting)
Texas is joyous to have left Baltimore after being swept in four-game series. However, their prospects might not be a whole lot brighter as Tampa Bay has the No.2 starting pitching ERA in the AL and will roll out Alex Cobb, Chris Archer and Jake Odorizzi. Other than Yu Darvish in the series opener, hard to feel good about Andrew Cashner and Tyson Ross. The Rays get the call.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Tampa Bay
Doug’s VPID Take – Tampa Bay wins
MLB – MILWAUKEE (+100) at PHILADELPHIA (-120) (Series Betting)
Given the record of these NL teams, one would surmise Milwaukee would a pretty good-sized favorite in this series, yet as you can see the numbers suggest otherwise. Aaron Nola and Jeremy Hellickson at least give Philadelphia a chance against Matt Garza and Brent Suter. Though the Phillies stink, their offense is presently in better form than the Brewers, so what the heck, I’ll take a shot with Philly.
Betting Trend – 60% backing Milwaukee
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Philadelphia
MLB – WASHINGTON (-130) at ARIZONA (+110) (Series Betting)
Arizona had to shuffle its starting pitching around with Taijuan Walker scratched from Thursday assignment with family issue. That leaves Zack Godley to tangle with Max Scherzer on Friday, which is advantage Washington. In Game 2, it is not known if Walker would be back, thus, no official starter for the D-Backs to face Tanner Roark. Sunday should a really beauty with Stephen Strasburg matching tosses with Ricky Ray. The Snakes are 33-15 in desert, but the Nationals are a sharp 31-18 on the road. Really a tough call….and I will lean with Washington with Scherzer and Strasburg.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Washington
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 144-159-8 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 93-80-3 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 230-217-11 ATS