Weekend Line Moves and Free Picks for Jan. 27-29

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Big weekend of basketball in college and the NBA and we have the line moves not only for today, but for some of the biggest televised games. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, to see what we are thinking. See you back here Tuesday.

NBA – (851) HOUSTON at (852) PHILADELPHIA 8:05 ET ESPN

This is crazy to think about, Philadelphia featured on a national cable telecast. But the 76ers are one of the hottest teams in the NBA at 10-3 (11-2 ATS) and are actually playing better then Houston lately. This matchup has drawn attention on the totals side, which is up two points to 220. With Philly’s Joel Embiid having missed last two games and listed as ‘doubtful’ for tonight, this could play a part in rising number. More likely it is the Sixers rattling off three straight OVER’s and the Rockets scoring and playing little defense. With Houston 8-0 OVER off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, we will climb aboard.

Betting Trend – 90% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over

CBB – (869) UW-GREEN BAY at (870) OAKLAND U. 9:00 ET  ESPNU

The total in this Horizon League battle is rising as fast the online prices of those hording McDonald’s ‘special sauce’ release for their new Big Mac intros. The opening figure of 155 flew all the way to 160. What is intriguing is last year’s two games both had closing total of 184 and they were each OVER’s. Both team’s average close to 80 PPG, however, in the oddsmakers defense, Oakland’s offense has failed to get out of the 60’s in two of three last three contests. Maybe there is something here I’m missing, but this is Oakland’s best defensive team in years and they are 10-3 UNDER as favorites. Some rather influential money is driving this line movement.

Betting Trend – 91% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under

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CBB – Saturday (515) TEXAS A&M at (516) WEST VIRGINIA 12:00 ET  ESPN

The Big 12/SEC challenge kicks off on ESPN, but this might not turn out to be much of game. Texas A&M strength is in its frontcourt, not at the guard positions, which is bad news for Aggies backers. In SEC play, Texas A&M has the worst turnover ratio per possessions and they have to go against Press Virginia. Good Luck!

Anticipated Line – West Virginia by 14 to 16 points

Doug’s VPID Take – West Virginia covers (at these numbers)

CBB – Saturday (517) NORTH CAROLINA at (518) MIAMI-FL 1:00 ET  CBS

Now completely healthy, North Carolina is at the top of the ACC and starting to show they are one the best teams in the country with great size and flexibility in the backcourt and wing positions. Miami has some very good athletes to compete in this contest, but they are young at several positions. Look for the Tar Heels to be tested and pull away in final 10 minutes.

Anticipated Line – North Carolina by 8 to 10 points

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean North Carolina

CBB – Saturday (603) KANSAS at (604) KENTUCKY 6:15 ET  ESPN

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com		Unless your television broke and you lost your phone, if you bet basketball, you might have heard Kansas is playing Kentucky. The Jayhawks will probably win a 13th straight Big 12 title, but they just do not get enough scoring in the frontcourt and that I believe will be the difference in this confrontation.

Anticipated Line – Kentucky 6 to 8 points

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Kentucky

NBA – Saturday  (507) L.A. CLIPPERS at (508) GOLDEN STATE 8:35 ET  ABC

Golden State is back home after a successful 3-1 SU and ATS road trip and has been sharper defensively in posting 6-1 ATS mark since Jan.12th. The Los Angeles Clippers might have Blake Griffin back, yet it is clear they miss Chris Paul in dropping three of four. If Warriors are at -10, worth a look, otherwise, play at your own risk.

Anticipated Line – Golden State by 10 to 12 points

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Golden State

CBB – Sunday  (849) VIRGINIA at (850) VILLANOVA  1:00 ET  FOX

Virginia’s defense overwhelmed Notre Dame at South Bend and they go after No.1 Villanova on Sunday. This is a really good matchup of players that put out more effort on defense than most teams. Whatever club that can avoid the longest scoring lull is your probable winner and the Cavaliers could definitely cover the spread.

Anticipated Line – Villanova by 3 to 5 points

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Virginia

NBA – Sunday  (833) OKLAHOMA CITY at (834) CLEVELAND 3:35 ET  ABC

Not sure mentally where Cleveland is these days and they are really scuffling. Since the new year arrived, the Cavs are 5-7 and disastrous 2-10 ATS (as of 1/26). Oklahoma City has been putting together min-runs of good and poor play since the calendar flipped and are riding high at the moment at 3-0 SU and ATS. The Thunder is 2-0 SU and ATS when playing with two day’s rest, winning by 7.5 PPG.

Anticipated Line – Cleveland by 4 to 6 points

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Oklahoma City

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 25-23 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 12-12-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 34-38-1 ATS

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