We have some line moves in the NBA and frankly one is absolutely puzzling. Seeing it is the weekend, we also have MLB series wagering to look into. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (92-53 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here next week.
NBA – (507) L.A. CLIPPERS at (508) UTAH 10:35 ET ESPN
In spite of the lowest closing total being 195.5 in this series, the opener for Game 6 from the sportsbooks was 191.5. That quickly gave way to a larger number, which now sets at 194. Maybe the thought was the Utah defense will really stifle the Clippers, but I’m not seeing it, because Los Angeles best chance is to win with offense. With the Clips 16-5 OVER having lost two of their last three games, I will back the larger total.
Betting Trend – 79% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
NBA – (509) BOSTON at (510) CHICAGO 8:05 ET ESPN
With Rajon Rondo out since Game 2 and Boston closing as -2.5 and -1.5 point favorites in Chicago in Games 3 and 4, winning and covering both, naturally they would be favored again. Granted, the Bulls made valiant efforts in both overcoming 20-point deficits, nevertheless, they still lost. That is why I was flabbergasted to see oddsmakers open this contest as Pick, before it was altered to -3 for the Celtics. It is a given Chicago will go all out to win facing elimination, but haven’t they tried almost everything in the last three contests to do the same?
Betting Trend – 91% backing Boston
Doug’s VPID Take – Boston covers
MLB – BALTIMORE (+135) at N.Y. YANKEES (-160) (Series Betting)
The New York Yankees are favored to be no worse than tied for first place in the AL East after this three game series with Baltimore. Though C.C. Sabathia and Michael Pineda are hardly sure winners in the first two contests, they would appear more reliable that either Kevin Gausman and Ubaldo Jimenez, who have ERA’s close to six or higher. With the Yanks 13-7 as hosts in this series, have to like them in the Bronx.
Betting Trend – 80% backing New York
Doug’s VPID Take – New York wins
MLB – COLORADO (+150) at ARIZONA (-170) (Series Betting)
Arizona leads Colorado by a half-game in the standings in the shocking NL West. The D-Backs are good-sized favorite in part because they are 11-3 at Chase Field and scoring an absurd 7.2 RPG there. The Rockies starting pitchers and bullpen was ravaged for 46 runs by Washington in their last series, which makes them vulnerable in this spot. With how Arizona is playing and almost certainly a favorite in all three confrontations, have the backs the Snakes.
Betting Trend – 95% backing Arizona
Doug’s VPID Take – Arizona wins
MLB – CHIC. CUBS (-120) at BOSTON (+100) (Series Betting)
This is the most fascinating series of the weekend and all the money lines should be very tight. The Cubs are favored overall and are a Game 1 choice of oddmakers with Jake Arrieta vs. Drew Pomeranz. Maybe the Cubs lose this contest, but hard not to like Chicago and Arrieta are 16-1 on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. The other two pitching matchups look close, thus, we will back Chicago because of potential opening game edge and the fact they have better offense.
Betting Trend – 75% backing Boston
Doug’s VPID Take – Chicago wins
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 100-110-4 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 48-51-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 142-159-5 ATS