We have the full regalia of Line Moves for Week 15 with all the updates. Always review the nuggets since they are worth a look.
NFL – (315) CAROLINA at (316) HOUSTON 1:00 EST FOX
Houston showed real intestinal fortitude in coming from behind at Cincinnati 20-19, winning with two ticks on the clock. It was a defensive struggle most the day and the thinking here is the Texans defense will present Cam Newton difficulties and Houston’s run game will control the clock against Carolina’s 23rd ranked run defense. This has led to the total dropping a point to 45.5 and the Texans are 6-0 UNDER at Reliant Stadium this season. The Panthers are catching 6.5-points and are 6-0 OVER as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. Update – A further erosion of the total continues, presently at 45 points. 3DW Position – Play Under
NFL – (319) CINCINNATI at (320) ST. LOUIS 1:00 EST CBS *New
No Sam Bradford, no A.J. Feeley. The Rams will start Kellen Clemens, who’s been in the city with The Arch for not quite two weeks and has never distinguished himself as a NFL quarterback. This news has sent the total plummeting from 40 to 38.5. Just be very aware Cincinnati is 10-2-1 OVER in 2011. 3DW Position – Play Over
NFL – (321) DETROIT at (322) OAKLAND 4:05 EST FOX
After winning three games in a row, Oakland looks a lot like the teams from the past eight years the last two weeks, with a host of mental and physical mistakes and going thru the motions once trailing in the game. Carson Palmer already has three games with three or more interceptions in his brief time in the silver and black and nobody is thinking savior anymore. The Raiders opened as a Pick and as quick as an Oakland offensive linemen draws a penalty flag, they became a one-point home underdog. Update – Like a car in a parking garage at the mall a week before Christmas, this line has not moved. 3DW Position – Detroit covers
NFL – (323) NEW ENGLAND at (324) DENVER 4:15 EST CBS
While Tebow-Mania might be the biggest sensation since Al Gore invented the “information super highway”, football bettors do not like Denver’s chances against Tom Brady and New England. The Broncos opened at +4.5 and faster than it took Albert Pujols took to sign with the Angels for 254M; Denver was up to +6. With the way New England can score points, the consensus is Tim Tebow will have to play better much earlier unless the defense has a phenomenal game. The Patriots are 27-15 ATS as a road favorite of seven points or less. Update – The new Tebow brew might be flying off the shelves, but so is the support for New England, now at -7 or higher at wagering outlets. 3DW Position – Denver covers
NFL – (325) N.Y. JETS at (326) PHILADELPHIA 4:15 EST CBS (side and total)
Coach Rex Ryan might like how his New York team is playing, but the wagering public prefers the home-standing underachievers. Philadelphia gobbled up Miami last week 26-10 and that was impressive enough to shift them from -2 to -3 home favorites. The wagering dilemma is which team in either uniform comes to play. This is particularly true of the Jets who are 11-3 ATS off a home win or are 10-23 ATS versus good rushing teams churning out 4.5 or more yards a carry. Update – The Jets are still field goal favorites; the total has sprung a leak, down from 45 to 44. 3DW Position – Play Under and one of my plays
NFL – (329) BALTIMORE at (330) SAN DIEGO 8:20 EST NBC (side and total)
The Sunday night conflict is attracting attention both on the sides and the total. Baltimore, who can nab the top seed in the AFC by winning out, has leaped from a one-point favorite to -2.5 and the total popped from 43 to 44. The Ravens went thru the motions against Indianapolis and failed to cover and is 6-0 ATS in road games after one or more spread losses. The Ravens might be 8-5 Over this season, but is 13-4 UNDER after consecutive wins by 14 or more points. Update – The side action has remained motionless like the putting batteries in the Christmas toy that won’t work, however the total has perked up to 45.5 before slinking back to 44. 3DW Position – Play Under and one of my plays.
3Daily Winners Nuggets
NFL ATS Nugget
Seattle is 1-9 ATS in road games after one or more wins the last three seasons.
NFL Totals Nugget
New England is 14-3 OVER after gaining six or more yards a play in their previous game over last two years.
NFL Money Line Nugget
Tennessee is 25-1 against the ML playing against a team with a win percentage of 25% or less since 1992.