Because of timing, we will have to pass on the line moves with Colorado and San Diego this afternoon, but we still have four others in baseball and tonight’s big NBA contest. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (176-143-1 run) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow
NBA – (701) CLEVELAND at (702) BOSTON 8:35 ET ESPN
Frankly, there is not anyone who does not believe Cleveland and LeBron James will not play better in Game 2 and that is the driving force for the total to rise from 202.5 to 204. I’m completely on board with it and besides, Boston is 14-3 OVER in home playoff games the last two seasons.
Betting Trend – 86% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
MLB – (955) CHIC. CUBS at (956) ATLANTA 7:35 ET CSN-C, FSSO
With Yu Darvish coming off the DL and sporting a 0-3 record and 6.00 ERA, baseball bettors have confidently moved the Cubs and Braves total from 8.5 to 9. These two teams have the top scoring offenses in the NL at over 5 runs a game and Atlanta has tallied 20 runs against Cubs pitching in three games, with Chicago at 19. Mike Foltynewicz (3-2, 3.21 ERA) has thrown well again this season but against Cubs hitters, he has a 7.36 ERA. Though Darvish is 15-4 UNDER recently when the total is 8.5 to 10, I’m not sure this will happen.
Betting Trend – 52% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over
MLB – (965) TAMPA BAY at (966) KANSAS CITY 8:15 ET FS-SUN, FSKC (side and total)
I could have picked another contest, but because this had side and totals action, I went that direction. Kansas City has slid like yesterday’s stock market from -125 home favorites to -110, with the total going the other direction from 9 to 9.5. Tampa Bay took the series opener 2-1 last night, which was only their fourth win at “The K” in 20 tries. Interesting to note those betting baseball have little faith in the Royals Ian Kennedy (1-4, 4.61) facing Anthony Banda, who is making his first major league start. I’ll side with K.C. with the Rays 0-7 after a game with a combined score of four runs or less and take the UNDER with Kennedy usually an effective home pitcher and both teams averaging a combined 8.2 RPG on offense.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Tampa Bay and 52% on Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Leans Kansas City and Under
MLB – (977) TORONTO at (978) N.Y. METS 7:10 ET SNET, SNY
After shooting out of the gate like American Pharoah, the Mets look like a plow horse at just one-game over .500. Even Noah Syndergaard (2-1, 3.09) is not inspiring much confidence as New York has tumbled from -180 to -155 against Toronto. The Mets offense has gone colder than a beer buried in ice at the bottom of a cooler in scoring 2.4 RPG in their last seven tries. If the Metropolitans offense is going to bust out, the Jays Jaime Garcia (2-2, 5.40) would seem the perfect opponent. Besides, Toronto offense has not been sterling either at 2.9 RPG in their past seven contests.
Betting Trend – 72% backing New York
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean New York
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 77-63-4 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 40-49-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 108-115-5 ATS