For line moves, time to dig into all the Thursday action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (47-35-2 run) to see what we are thinking this week. See you back here tomorrow.
BOWLS – (243) VIRGINIA TECH vs. (244) OKLAHOMA ST. 5:15 ET ESPN
Oklahoma State has not shown they cannot always be trusted and Virginia Tech’s defense is capable of testing the Cowboys. That is why Okie State has slipped from -6.5 to -4. The Hokies offense really struggled down the stretch, however, Oklahoma State’s defense is not Clemson’s. But what happens, late heavy action on the Cowboys who back up to -6.
Betting Trend – 75% backing Oklahoma State
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Oklahoma State
BOWLS – (277) MICH. STATE vs. (278) WASH. STATE 9:00 ET FS1
A major flip in Holiday Bowl, as Washington State has gone from -3 to +2. Losing leading receiver Tavares Martin plays a part in the Cougars being devalued. As do Joe’s and Pro’s wondering if Washington State is ready for smash-mouth football, which is how Michigan State likes to play. My initial thought was the Spartans were the play, but have read the Cougars were embarrassed in this bowl a year ago and want redemption, I’ll go against the grain.
Betting Trend – 82% backing Michigan State
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Washington State
NBA – (505) MINNESOTA at (506) MILWAUKEE 8:05 ET FSNO, FSWI
In spite of the Milwaukee being 11-0 OVER this month, this total slide two points to 212. The Bucks are simply below average defensively, last in three-point field goal percentage and are poorly coached by Jason Kidd. With the T-Wolves 14-5 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. I’ll stick with the OVER.
Betting Trend – 88% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
CBB – (517) UIC at (518) WRIGHT STATE 7:05 ET ESPN3
The total on this Horizon League encounter has skyrocketed from 135 to 139. Wright State has shown they are capable of larger point totals, like hanging 85 on Georgia Tech in last outing, yet they average 69.7 PPG. With Wright State 6-0 UNDER as a favorite this season, I will lean that direction.
Betting Trend – 93% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
CBB – (547) SAN FRANCISCO at (548) SAN DIEGO 9:00 ET Spectrum SN
With San Francisco having just beaten a good Nevada team and played several close contests, they have gone from +5 to +3 road underdogs at San Diego in WCC action. Here is why I do not like that line move. The Dons only shoot 40 percent as a team and the Toreros are holding opponents to 37 percent accuracy. Yes San Francisco is 15-6 ATS as visitors in these matchups, but the Dons are also 0-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3.
Betting Trend – 92% backing San Francisco
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean San Diego
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 301-302-12 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 185-150-4 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 467-421 -15 ATS