After being March Madness crazy writing articles and other things, the line moves are back and we have five for today. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (115-89-4 run) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA – (655) L.A. CLIPPERS at (656) MINNESOTA 8:05 ET PT, FSNO (side and total)
Basketball bettors are disagreeing with the oddsmakers on two fronts in this West Conference clash of two teams fighting to make the playoffs. Minnesota has been bumped from -2.5 to -4 and the total has dipped from 227.5 to 226. Both clubs have slumped recently, but with the adjusted price on the side, I like the Clippers since they are 21-12 ATS on the road this season. Over each team’s last 10 games, they have leaned towards the OVER and I will back that since the Clips are 15-5 OVER after allowing 115 points or more this season.
Betting Trend – 78% backing Minnesota and 73% on Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play L.A. and Lean Over
NBA – (657) OKLAHOMA CITY at (658) BOSTON 8:05 ET TNT
Oklahoma City brings its six-game winning streak (5-1 ATS) to Bean Town to face the injury-plagued Celtics. Boston is almost as beat-up as Facebook these days, and are up from two points as home underdogs to +4.5 to the Thunder. Not having Kyrie Irving really affects the C’s offense, the same is true without Marcus Smart on defense and their depth has been depleted. While this seems like a big number for OKC to beat, Russell Westbrook is playing on another level and he leads his team to the win and covers.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Oklahoma City
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Oklahoma City
CBB – (665) PENN STATE at (666) MARQUETTE 7:00 ET ESPN
The first quarterfinal game tonight in the NIT has a sinking total in Brew Town. The original total was 153 and that figure has slid to 150.5. We have conflicting intel on this clash as Penn State is 6-0 UNDER versus teams allowing shooting percentage of 45% or higher, while Marquette is 15-6 OVER versus teams making 45% or more of their shot attempts. What is right? I’ll pick the Nittany Lions defense and say this outcome finishes in the 140’s.
Betting Trend – 63% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
NHL – (51) DALLAS at (52) WASHINGTON 7:05 ET FSSW+, CSMA
How does team on a five-game losing streak and who have dropped seven of eight become a falling money line road underdog against an opponent that has won four of five? Simple, by having won 10 of 12 in the home team’s building. That is correct, Dallas is playing poorly, yet has managed to come ready to play in Washington and has tumbled from +130 to +112 or less away underdogs. The Stars have owned the Capitals for a long time with a 22-6 record no matter they have played. Can Dallas do it again, why not?
Betting Trend – 90% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Dallas
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 51% to 79% – 37-41-3 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2018) – 80% or Higher – 19-23-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2018) – 62-58-3 ATS