VPID Early Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Nov. 21

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Here are the latest line moves for this upcoming weekend. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks to see what we are thinking this week. See you back here tomorrow.

CFB – (149) MICHIGAN STATE  (150) RUTGERS  4:00 ET  FOX 

Though Rutgers has exceeded at least the oddsmakers expectations with 8-3 ATS mark, their offense has been problematic versus stronger units like Michigan State and the Scarlet Knights have risen from +11 to +13.5. Rutgers is only averaging 14.6 PPG in conference play and 56.4% of that came against Illinois and Maryland. The Spartans are 8-1 ATS when the total is 42 or lower.

Betting Trend – 95% backing Michigan State

CFB – (179) SOUTHERN  MISS. at (180) MARSHALL  2:30 ET

In this C-USA clash, Marshall has been lowered two points to -3 against Southern Miss. Both teams have terrific in beating the number with a combined 15-7 ATS record. And the total of 48 does not favor either club being in the middle of their typical total scores. Let’s take the points with the Golden Eagles because of stronger offense.

Betting Trend – 96% backing Southern Miss

CFB – (183) WASHINGTON STATE at (184) WASHINGTON  8:00 ET  FOX

The Apple Cup has huge implication for Washington State, who wins the Pac-12 North with a triumph. The Cougars opened at +11 to rival Washington and have slid to +9. Both teams have labored at times down the stretch and though the Huskies have the better talent, motivation is on the side of Wazzo and they cover this contest and maybe more.

Betting Trend – 97% backing Washington State

CFB – (209) WEST VIRGINIA at (210) OKLAHOMA  3:45 ET  ESPN

Oklahoma wants to continue momentum heading into Big 12 championship and secure their seat at the Final Four table. With West Virginia an average defensive team and having lost their starting quarterback Will Grier, it has been Boomer Sooner, with Oklahoma up from -19.5 to -22. Grab this now, as this number will only rise.

Betting Trend – 62% backing Oklahoma

CFB – (211) OREGON STATE at (212) OREGON  7:00 ET  ESPN2

The Civil War is expected to be rather tame, as Oregon has been pushed up four points to -25.5. Oregon State’s 58-27 loss to pedestrian Colorado State in their opener set the table for a rotten season. The Beavers defense is being shredded for 40.6 PPG and the Ducks have never shown mercy on bad teams.

Betting Trend – 61% backing Oregon

NFL – (251) CLEVELAND at (252) CINCINNATI  1:00 ET CBS

Cincinnati is 4-6 and talking about a playoff run. NFL bettors are not buying it and have lowered the Bengals from -9 to -8 even against the bungling and winless Browns. While we trust the sportsbooks line, because Cleveland turns the ball over so frequently, teams convert those into points, which is why Cincy gets the call in Battle of Ohio.

Betting Trend – 75% backing Cincinnati

NFL – (263) TENNESSEE at (264) INDIANAPOLIS  1:00 ET  FOX

Bettors have no faith in Tennessee. After winning four in row (1-2-1 ATS), the Titans were plastered by Pittsburgh 40-17. While Indianapolis is among the least talented squads in the AFC, Tennessee has still dipped from one point to -3.5 point favorites. Very difficult to back a team that is 4-13 ATS on the road.

Betting Trend – 63% backing Indianapolis

NFL – (271) DENVER at (272) OAKLAND  4:25 ET   CBS

This rivalry conflict has gone from a national to regional contest on CBS. Denver has three quarterbacks that are not as good as journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Oakland offensive line could not block four snowmen let alone real humans and the play-calling is another article. No wonder the total fell from 44 to 43. However, both defenses are surrendering more than 24 points a game, making us go the other way.

Betting Trend – 65% backing Under

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 260-269-10 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 168-137-4 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 412-372 -14 ATS

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