VPID Early College Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Sept. 26


Time to move ahead to the last weekend of college football for September and check out the line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (263-224) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow for NFL.

CFB – Friday – (105) MIAMI-FL at (106) DUKE 7:00 ET ESPN

Miami like other Florida universities got back to normal this past week and played football after a long layoff and evidently football bettors liked what they saw from the Hurricanes and have bumped them from -4.5 to -6.5 at 4-0 Duke. Hard to argue with this line movement when the ‘Canes are 6-0 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in last outing.

Betting Trend – 55% backing Duke

CFB – (113) CHARLOTTE at (114) FLORIDA INT. 7:00 ET beIN

Someone is paying attention to what has to be a low volume betting C-USA contest. Charlotte is 0-4 SU and ATS and has few friends in the betting community and the 49ers have gone from +10 to +12 versus Florida International. Charlotte losing and not covering against teams like themselves is the driving force for them being rising underdog.

Betting Trend – 95% backing FIU

CFB – (129) AKRON at (130) BOWLING GREEN 6:00 ET ESPN3

In 2015, Bowling Green was on their way to a MAC championship. Now the Falcons cannot even get off the ground with an 0-4 start. Bowling Green is 4-12 ATS since last season and despite Akron got exactly setting the pace nationally at 1-3, the Zips have been flipped from +1 to -3. If Bowling Green is going to win, this might be the spot.

Betting Trend – 82% backing Akron

CFB – (139) BAYLOR at (140) KANSAS STATE 3:30 ET ESPN2

Baylor gave Oklahoma all they could handle last Saturday, losing 49-41 as 28-point home underdogs. Evidently that bought no goodwill as the Bears are three-points to +17 at Kansas State, who is coming off upset setback at Vanderbilt. K-State is sharp 8-1 ATS after scoring 14 or fewer points.

Betting Trend – 52% backing Baylor

CFB – (153) NAVY at (544) TULSA 3:30 ET ESPNU

One of the most puzzling scores from last week was Tulsa scoring 13 points at home in losing to New Mexico. Yes, the Golden Hurricane did a have a couple RB’s get dinged, nonetheless, that was terribly low score. Because Navy can play keep away with the pigskin also, Tulsa has been lifted from +3 to +6.

Betting Trend – 75% backing Navy

CFB – (159) COLORADO at (160) UCLA 10:30 ET ESPN2

Gosh, a UCLA game with a rising total, go figure! In this Pac-12 conflict, the total is up three digits to 69.5 thanks to the Bruins scoring 45 PPG and allowing 43.2 PPG. Expect Colorado to ring up the points and have all kinds of problems stopping UCLA quarterback Josh Rosen in high scoring affair.

Betting Trend – 64% backing Over

CFB – (167) SOUTH CAROLINA at (168) TEXAS A&M 7:30 ET SECN

With South Carolina’s offense having gone quiet thanks to injuries, keeping pace scoring-wise with Texas A&M is expected to be a problem and the Gamecocks had been moved up from +8 to +10. Though Kevin Sumlin is bad bet as coach, Aggies have too much firepower and win this SEC contest going away.

Betting Trend – 80% backing South Carolina


Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 194-205-10 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 138-110-4 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 317-285-14 ATS


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