VPID Early College Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Oct. 3rd


Let’s get another week of line moves going, starting in college football. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (274-236) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

CFB – Thursday (305) LOUISVILLE at (306) N.C. STATE   8:00 ET  ESPN

On the surface N.C. State is positioned to have a better season, being stronger on defense and with an offense that can score. But Louisville has Lamar Jackson and there is nothing he cannot do and he has the backing of football bettors as the Cardinals flew from -1 to -4. The Wolfpack has lost three straight in series, but key number matters

Betting Trend – 67% backing Louisville


Central Florida’s impressive demolition of Memphis has those betting football’s attention and the Knights have leaped from -14 to -17 over a run of the mill Cincinnati team. The Bearcats used to be money at home, not anymore (1-8 ATS), yet this still feels like a lot points. Either take the points or wait and see if spread come down.

Betting Trend – 90% backing Central Florida

CFB – (335) DUKE at (336) VIRGINIA  12:20 ET  ACCN

Searched Duke team websites to see if they had QB injury to understand why the Blue Devils were flipped from -2.5 to +2.5 at Virginia. I could not find anything. Duke did not play poorly against excellent Hurricanes squad and the Cavaliers bounced Boise State, yet lost at home to Indiana earlier. Virginia is 9-3 SU hosting the Dukies.

Betting Trend – 58% backing Duke

CFB – (347) MINNESOTA at (348) PURDUE  3:30 ET  ESPN2

Purdue has been vibrant and exciting with new coach, while Minnesota looked slow and lost at home to Maryland who started third-string quarterback. The Boilermakers opened at +1 and boiled to -4 home favorites. Would like the number to come down on Purdue, since they are 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS at West Lafayette.

Betting Trend – 60% on Purdue

CFB – (367) AIR FORCE at (368) NAVY  3:30 ET  CBSSN

Always a welcome sight when the academies collide and despite the record differentials in the teams, it is the 1-3 Air Force dipping from +10 to +7.5 at undefeated Navy. The Falcons won last year, but that was in Colorado Springs and the Middies are 7-3-1 ATS when the Air Force is in town.

Betting Trend – 78% backing Navy

CFB – (385) GEORGIA at (386) VANDERBILT  12:00 ET  ESPN

This is fourth straight incredible task for Vanderbilt and third versus a ranked opponent. With Georgia obviously the second-best team in the SEC, the Bulldogs have been bumped up from -14 to -17.5. The biggest concerns for Vandy is scoring on exceptional Georgia defense and stopping Dawgs powerful running attack. The Commodores might be worth a look with 10-2 ATS mark off road loss.

Betting Trend – 89% backing Georgia

CFB – (417) MIAMI-FL. at (418) FLORIDA STATE  3:30 ET  ESPN

Miami has been shoved from a Pick to -3 and it obvious as to why. The Hurricanes when watching both teams have better players, stronger O-Line and more offensive versatility. Fully expect Florida State to give a very strong effort, however, at this price Miami still is a nice value for Sunshine State showdown.

Betting Trend – 84% backing Miami


Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 205-2012-10 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 144-110-4 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 334-289-14 ATS


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