VPID Early College Football Line Moves and Betting Trends for Oct.17

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The college football season keep rolling and we have the early line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow for NFL.

CFB – (321) SMU at (322) CINCINNATI 4:00 ET  ESPNU

SMU is averaging better than 43 points game and is No. 11 in total offense in the country. Cincinnati is on an 0-4 SU and ATS skid and their run defense has fallen to 109th. Football bettors are locked into these numbers and have put a saddle on the Mustangs in riding them from -7 to -9.

Betting Trend – 92% backing SMU

CFB – (323) NORTH TEXAS  at (324) FLORIDA ATLANTIC   5:00 ET  ESPN3

A couple of C-USA unbeatens will collide and it is the visitor that has attracted the attention, with North Texas down three points to +3.5. The Mean Green are 12th in total offense and have the better run defense by 90 yards. Florida Atlantic is 16th nationally running the ball and has better scoring defense. Concern on FAU, 3-12 ATS home record.

Betting Trend – 56% backing North Texas

CFB – (335) INDIANA at (336) MICHIGAN STATE  3:30 ET  ABC

Indiana did not have much success other than one drive against Michigan and chances are they will not at East Lansing this week, which is why the total has crumbled from 47.5 to 44.5. The adjustment seems rather severe and when these Big Ten buddies have met at this locale, the OVER is 7-2.

Betting Trend – 85% backing Under

CFB – (347) SYRACUSE at (348) MIAMI-FL  3:30 ET  ESPN

Syracuse tries to slay another giant, this time on the road in Miami area. It seems there is this public perception that Orange have this big time offense and its defense is beatable. Yet on the season they are 6-1 UNDER. That is why the total rising from 55 to 58 does not make sense and the Hurricanes are 3-0 UNDER is ACC action.

Betting Trend – 51% backing Under

CFB – (355) MICHIGAN at (356) PENN STATE  7:30 ET  ABC

Saw this coming from a mile away. Michigan, because of their defense, being lowered from +12.5 to +9.5. Here is the problem, the Wolverines have no passing offense and Penn State is holding opponents to 9.0 PPG. If you like the Nittany Lions, now is the time to grab them, being in single digits and 9-1 ATS at home after conceding 14 or fewer points.

Betting Trend – 68% backing Penn State

CFB – (381) SOUTHERN MISS at (382) LOUISIANA TECH   7:00 ET

With how North Texas has been playing, neither team in the West Division of C-USA can afford a loss, already strapped with one defeat. Southern Miss has won and covered the last two meetings and has come down two points to a +1.5 point road underdog. Louisiana Tech does appear to be the weaker squad, but has played better schedule.

Betting Trend – 67% backing Southern Miss

CFB – (385) ARIZONA at (386) CALIFORNIA  8:00 ET   PAC-12N

Thought to be a lock to finish last in the Pac-12 South, Arizona is 4-2 and its ground attack is nearly unstoppable at No.4 in the country. After losing three straight, California had perfect game plan and buried Washington State 37-3. Those betting football are calculating the Bears will not as hungry flipped them from -1.5 to +3. Arizona is 4-1 SU since 2008.

Betting Trend – 62% backing Arizona

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 226-229-10 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 146-113-4 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 360-309-14 ATS

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