Happy Halloween! Let’s get things started as we head into November in college football with the latest line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (26-20 run) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow
CFB – Thursday – (309) NORTHERN ILL. at (310) TOLEDO 6:00 ET ESPNU
The MACathon continues and this is important matchup with winner most likely playing for MAC champion next month. Toledo was sent out as a -10 point favorite and has been backed up to -9. Seeing this favors Northern Illinois, the better defensive team, the total has also slipped from 58 to 56. The UNDER makes sense and Huskies are 13-3 ATS as underdogs of +7.5 to +14.
Betting Trend – 60% backing Northern Illinois
CFB – (345) MARYLAND at (346) RUTGERS 3:30 ET BTN
Nothing screams Big Ten football like Maryland and Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights already have a pair of conference victories and are more competitive at 4-1 ATS. The Terrapins have lost top two quarterbacks to injury, yet are coming off win over Indiana and have been moved from a Pick to -2.5. Maryland has better athletes, but good spot for Rutgers to pick up win.
Betting Trend – 85% backing Maryland
CFB – (361) SOUTHERN MISS at (362) TENNESSEE 7:30 ET SECN
This line move explains how far Tennessee has fallen, as the Vols are down two points to -5.5 against Southern Miss, who is merely 5-3 in Conference USA. Tennessee lost last week in spite of +4 turnover margin at Kentucky and coach Butch Jones will be let go at some point. Still have to think the Vols can take this one.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Southern Miss
CFB – (367) WISCONSIN at (368) INDIANA 12:00 ET ABC
Wisconsin went through the motions in dismissing Illinois last week 24-10 in a non-cover. Evidently, I am not the only one to think the Badgers might have more ‘juice’ this week and up their level of play, as they have been elevated from -9 to -11 at Indiana. The Hoosiers are 8-19 ATS against teams that keep pigskin for 32-plus minutes.
Betting Trend – 90% backing Wisconsin
CFB – (385) OREGON at (386) WASHINGTON 10:00 ET FS1
Since Oregon lost QB Justin Hebert, they have not been the same team and those problems are expected to continue at Washington as the Ducks have waddled from +17 to +21. This is big number and with Stanford on deck, not sold we are going to see the Huskies best effort and Oregon slides under number.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Oregon
CFB – (401) BYU at (402) FRESNO STATE 10:45 ET ESPN2
BYU won and covered the spread for the first time last week against San Jose State, but football bettors are not convinced that will happen again, shifting the Cougars from +11.5 to +14.5. Fresno State is off stunning home loss to UNLV, ending four-game winning streak. Buy now if you prefer BYU or wait for better number on Bulldogs.
Betting Trend – 63% backing Fresno State
CFB – (423) ARIZONA at (424) USC 10:45 ET ESPN
Those betting football do not trust USC and dropped them from -10 to -7 against Arizona’s uprising. While it is wonderful to see the Wildcats shocking performance this season, this is too good a price on Trojans to pass up with essentially the Pac-12 South title on the line. Watch Sam Darnold torch ‘Zona secondary.
Betting Trend – 55% backing USC
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 243-249-10 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 152-120-4 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 380-336 -14 ATS