Short card on Monday in baseball yet plenty of activity, plus the total is moving in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll.
MLB – (955) SAN DIEGO at (956) ATLANTA 7:10 ET FSN-SD, SPSO
Shelby Miller (5-2, 1.89 ERA) is coming off an uneven effort his last time out after being brilliant all season and Ian Kennedy (3-5, 6.60), is off one of better showings of the season after being brutal most of the year. In spite of San Diego having been shutout for the 10th time already this season, it is Atlanta who is a falling favorite down an immense 30 cents to -130. The Braves also hung all zeroes yesterday and prior to that both these NL offenses had been simmering. With the total at 7.5, Miller and Atlanta is 8-1 when the totals range is 7 to 8.5 and Kennedy is 2-14 in road games working on five or six days rest the last three seasons. (Team’s Record) Doug’s Choice – Atlanta wins
MLB – (961) HOUSTON at (962) CHIC. WHITE SOX 8:10 ET ROOT-SW, CSN-C
Runs are expected to be at premium in the Windy City this evening according to the MLB odds. Chris Sale (5-2, 3.27) has allowed six earned runs over his last five starts covering 39 1/3 innings, while striking a crazy 55 hitters. Rookie Lance McCullers (2-0, 1.88) for Houston is actually averaging more K’s per nine innings than Sale this season (10.88 vs. 10.77) and fired a four-hitter with 11 strikeouts in previous outing over Baltimore. The 21-year-old right-hander joined Bert Blyleven, Dwight Gooden and Kerry Wood as the only pitchers that young to throw a complete game with more than 10 strikeouts with no walks. Based on present form, is it any wonder the total has dipped from 7.5 to 7? We think not and the White Sox are 7-0 UNDER after two or more consecutive OVER’s this season. Doug’s Choice – Play Over
MLB – (965) MIAMI at (966) TORONTO 7:05 ET FSN-FL, RSN
With five consecutive wins Toronto has moved from last to third in the AL East. They move into interleague action against Miami who that last faced three seasons ago. The Blue Jays have jumped from -150 to -174 favorites with Marco Estrada (2-3, 3.77) taking the ball and he is being backed by an offense which batting .310 and averaging seven runs a game in this stretch, which has worry Marlins starter Brad Hand (1-1, 4.24), who will be making his third start after being in the bullpen all year. We get the Jays are playing well but Miami is 10-2 in Toronto, having won all four series and they are 16-6 vs. an AL team with an on-base percentage .330 or worse the last two seasons. But here comes the spoiler alert, the Marlins are 0-8 on Monday’s this season. Doug’s Choice – Slight lean Toronto
NHL – (5) TAMPA BAY at (6) CHICAGO 8:05 ET NBCSN
With the total rising from 5 to 5.5, the feeling here is the results of Game 2 are not more important than Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals rather, the uncertain status of goalie Ben Bishop for the Lightning comes into play. 20-year old backup Andrei Vasilevskiy can certainly do the job, but his fine play was on home ice and with as loud as it can be at the United Center (personal experience), his nerves will be tested whether he starts or not. Of the next two games, this in my opinion has the chance to be more conservative and the Chicago is 11-3 UNDER at home off a close road loss by one goal since last seasons. Doug’s Choice – Play Under
Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
The White Sox are 8-0 after four straight games having seven or less hits since 2013.
MLB Totals Trend
San Diego is 13-2 OVER with a bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games this season.
MLB Run Line Trend
Pittsburgh is 7-0 at home vs. NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs a game this season.
NHL Money Line Trend
Chicago is 15-3 at home as a #3 seed in the playoffs the last two seasons.