Let’s move ahead to Tuesday and betting intrigue remains with two of the contests from yesterday plus a couple of games on side and total action. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (552-499 L204D)
MLB – (959) ATLANTA at (960) ARIZONA 9:40 ET SPSO, FSAZ
It turned out those making MLB picks on this matchup yesterday were half right as Atlanta’s offense stayed hot and scored eight runs but they held Arizona to one tally to force a Push. Tonight the total’s move is not as dramatic, going from 8.5 to 9 but the results could be similar. Shelby Miller (5-2) has a 1.48 ERA which is among the best in baseball and Arizona’s Josh Collmenter (3-5, 5.05) has an ERA of 6.30 at Chase Field. The Braves should do their part against the D-Backs pitching, but will the Snakes have much success against Miller? I’m inclined to think a lower score unless Freddie Freeman continues to crush Diamondbacks pitching at a .421 clip. Doug’s Choice – Lean Under
MLB – (961) N.Y. METS at (962) SAN DIEGO 10:10 ET MLBN
This total tumbling from 7 to 6 brings a flood on conflicting information. It starts with talented Noah Syndergaard (2-2, 2.55) who can certainly limit San Diego scoring as we saw last night in the Mets 7-0 whitewashing. That was already the ninth time the Padres have hung all zeroes in a game. Yet Ian Kennedy (2-5, 7.15) has a Big Gulp cup ERA of 9.31 at Petco Park of all places and the San Diego bullpen is unlikely to help with an ERA over 4. Also, after being quieter than five-handicap golfer just shooting 88, the Mets offense has perked up to 5.3 RPG in their past seven tries compared to season average of 3.8. Yes the Mets talented right-hander could slay the Padres again but San Diego oddly is 17-10 OVER at Petco this year and 12-4 OVER at home when the total is 6 to 6.5. Doug’s Choice – Play Over
MLB – (965) OAKLAND at (966) DETROIT 7:05 ET CSN-CA, FSN-D
Those assembling MLB picks are weary of Detroit after the continued misadventures in Anaheim, this time being swept in four-game series and being losers in seven of nine overall. The Tigers slipped from -150 to -130 against 20-33 Oakland (-18.8 units), who is trying to climb out of the sink hole they created and have won six of nine. The A’s Kendall Graveman (2-2, 5.79) has mediocre numbers on the surface but he and Oakland have won all three of his road starts and he’s sporting a snazzy 1.26 ERA in those contests. Sounds great right, but the Tigers Alfredo Simon is even better with a 0.94 ERA at Comerica Park, all Detroit wins and the Athletics are 2-10 having won two of three this season. Doug’s Choice – Detroit wins
MLB – (975) TAMPA BAY at (976) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 ET SUN, FSN-W
Last evening the MLB odds were going against the Angels as favorites and they prevailed 7-3 making it five straight for the Anaheim crew. With the Rays Chris Archer (5-4, 2.12 ERA) coming off the best performance of his outstanding start, (two hits, eight shutout innings and career-high 12 strikeouts) Tampa Bay has been flipped from a +110 underdog to -115 road faves. Archer has 1.73 away ERA, but even he might be catching the Halos at the wrong time. Like flipping the light switch, all the sudden the Angels are like the power company with home runs flying out of yard and the sources are varied. If you recall this was when Anaheim heated up last year and they are 12-1 at the Big A in June since last year and let’s not shun C.J. Wilson (3-3, 3.18) who is 12-0 in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse the last two seasons. (Angels Record) Doug’s Choice – L.A.A. wins
Vegas Pro Insiders Daily Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Minnesota is 23-8 playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MLB Totals Trend
Cleveland is 10-0 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs a game this season.
MLB Run Line Trend
Texas is 4-16 at home after two straight games with no home runs the last two seasons.