Tony George’s U.S. Open Golf Picks and Oakmont is a Beast

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By Tony George of Tony George Sports.com – Oakmont in Pennsylvania will prove to be a beast that will be hard to tame this Week and Weekend for the US Open.  The greens are lightning fast even making the members of Augusta National jealous, the fairways tight, the rough like a Honduran jungle.  This is the 8th time the US Open has been held here, and trust me, Par is a good score on this course, and I am not talking about my hack game, but for the Pro’s this week.  Any player with a short game in prime shape who can scramble for Par or even Bogey is going to be a contender.  Power off the tee box is playing second fiddle to accuracy off the tee box this week, making this tricky for Golf Picks.

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comIt seems as golf in general and players and equipment evolve, that power and distance is the key to success on the PGA Tour, or any professional golf tour anymore.  Oakmont will dispel that narrative this Thursday through Sunday, near Pittsburgh on this storied course.  While length is key at Oakmont, accuracy is most important off the tee, and long iron play and greens hit in regulation will be the story, because this rough is jail, no 2 ways around it.  You miss the fairway by 1 foot and in many cases when you are still 200 yards out, you will be pitching it back into the fairway before your approach shot to the green is taken.  Number 8 is a 288 yard Par 3, so that is no bargain for anyone, and just an example of this course testing every club in your bag.

Keep this in mind:  The combined score of the winners in the last 8 US Opens at Oakmont combined is 9 OVER Par.  The last US Open here 9 years ago was won by Angel Cabrera at +5.   This Major will not come easy, and will be a mental and physical challenge like none other, and I do not see many under par rounds come the weekend and someone over Par for the 4 day total would not surprise me to be crowned the US Open Champion.

Here are my selections, and I used a lot of emphasis on driving accuracy, short game and putting, along with experience and the ability to close out a big tourney as my guidelines.  The Full roster of players and odds as of Tuesday afternoon are below my selections.

My 2 Best Bets

Jason Day  @ 13 to 2 –  Popular bet for a reason.  His ability to putt is going to be key, and has his game back in shape. If he can keep his cool, and accept the fact that bogey is a good score on some holes, he will be on the leaderboard.  He is the worlds number 1 ranked golfer for a reason.  I watched him person in 2015 win the PGA Championship at Whistling Straights in Wisconsin. He is #1 on Tour in putting and #23 ranked in Tee to Green and can close out a tourney.  He will be around on Sunday without question.

Henrik Stenson @ 30 to 1 – This guy is solid off the tee box, can hit irons and can putt.  He is #8 on the Tour in Tee to Green, #9 in Driving accuracy, and #7 in Greens hit in regulation.  He has shown a habit of not being able to put away a tourney but he is due big time in a Major and this course is built for him.   The always a bridesmaid moniker may go out the window for him on Sunday afternoon, I feel he is a strong contender on a course that can highlight his strengths.

BEST LONG SHOT – AND I MEAN A TOP 4 WAGER – Just not a stab in the dark ! 

Patrick Reed @ 40 to 1 –  SAY WHAT?  Have NO doubt, this guy can golf his ball and has more Top 10 finishes in 2016 than any other golfer on tour.  He contended last year in the US Open and I feel has the game and mental toughness to get it done at Oakmont.  He also is #2 on the Tour in scrambling.  Do not be surprised to see him in the mix on Sunday and he is a grinder in every tourney until the bitter end and that will serve him well.

ONE MORE TO CONSIDER 

Jordan Spieth @ 8 to 1 – Past Champion (Chambers Bay last year) , Top 3 golfer in the world, and putts from 20 foot and in as well as anyone.  Worried about his mindset coming in here after falling apart in the Masters and giving away that Major back in April with a total collapse, and not being able to break par might get to him mentally. Very hard to win back to back US Opens, but has the game to beat this course.  At 8 to 1 I feel he is worth a shot and coming off a win in Texas a few weeks back.

Here are guys everyone wants to bet but cannot win it in my opinion and are a waste of money

Dustin Johnson @ 12 to 1 – Flat out cannot putt – blew the US Open last year from inside 2 feet on the 18th green.  Nice guy, lots of game, hot girlfriend, no putter in the bag.  If this guy would work with a putting coach, because he cuts across the ball when putting it, he could win numerous Majors and all around can score with anyone as he is highly ranked in scoring on the PGA Tour, but until he makes big putts that count for something down the stretch, I cannot bank on him.

Lefty Phil @ 25 to 1 – One of my favorite guys on tour to watch and root for week to week, especially in Majors, and America’s favorite golfer, plus he loves to gamble on sports which is personally attractive to me.  He is a word class scrambler, and seems to be around in the hunt in big tourneys every year but seems to put too much distance between himself and the leaders early on in the tourney and charge too late to make up the distance. The US Open seems to elude him whenever he is in contention on the last day.  Phil is just way to erratic off the tee box, short putts haunt him and he has never been able to close out a US Open including his famous loss to Payne Stewart at Pinehurst.  He did have a second place finish last week in Memphis.

U.S. Open golf betting odds

Jordan Spieth 8/1
Rory McIlroy 7/1
Jason Day 13/2
Dustin Johnson 12/1
Rickie Fowler 25/1
Adam Scott 30/1
Justin Rose 25/1
Bubba Watson 40/1
Hideki Matsuyama 30/1
Henrik Stenson 30/1
Danny Willett 40/1
Phil Mickelson 25/1
Louis Oosthuizen 50/1
Brandt Snedeker 60/1
Patrick Reed 40/1
Brooks Koepka 40/1
Sergio Garcia 40/1
Matt Kuchar 30/1
Zach Johnson 60/1
Paul Casey 60/1
Branden Grace 30/1
Charl Schwartzel 60/1
Jim Furyk 80/1
Jimmy Walker 100/1
Justin Thomas 100/1
Martin Kaymer 60/1
Kevin Kisner 100/1
Graeme McDowell 100/1
Lee Westwood 60/1
J.B. Holmes 60/1
Marc Leishman 80/1
Tiger Woods WD
Bryson DeChambeau 100/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 80/1
Bill Haas 125/1
Jason Dufner 100/1
Billy Horschel 100/1
Danny Lee 125/1
Byeong Hun An 125/1
Shane Lowry 125/1
Daniel Berger 60/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 150/1
Ryan Moore 150/1
Kevin Na 125/1
Keegan Bradley 150/1
Webb Simpson 100/1
Luke Donald 125/1
Harris English 125/1
Chris Kirk 150/1
Russell Knox 100/1
Charley Hoffman 100/1
David Lingmerth 200/1
Smylie Kaufman 250/1
Angel Cabrera 250/1
Emiliano Grillo 150/1
Scott Piercy 200/1
Robert Streb 250/1
Bernd Wiesberger 200/1
Andy Sullivan 250/1
Jamie Donaldson 200/1
Patton Kizzire 250/1
Patrick Rodgers 250/1
Geoff Ogilvy 500/1
Ernie Els 200/1
Anirban Lahiri 300/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 300/1
Chris Wood 150/1
Brendan Steele 150/1
Kevin Chappell 60/1
Soren Kjeldsen 200/1
Kevin Streelman 250/1
Cameron Smith 300/1
Jon Rahm 300/1
Thongchai Jaidee WD
Steven Bowditch 1000/1
Jaco Van Zyl 300/1
Lucas Glover 250/1
Jeff Maggert 1000/1
Darren Clarke WD
Derek Bard 1000/1
Retief Goosen 200/1
James Hahn 300/1
Kyung-Tae Kim 300/1
Alex Noren 250/1
Peter Hanson 300/1
Andrew Johnston 300/1
Romain Wattel 300/1
Lee Slattery 500/1
Gregory Bourdy 300/1
Maximilian Kieffer 500/1
Matteo Manassero 500/1
Gary Stal 1000/1
Yuta Ikeda 500/1
Yusaku Miyazato 1000/1
Hideto Tanihara 500/1
Toru Taniguchi 1000/1
Soren Hansen 1000/1
Matthew Baldwin 2000/1
Sebastian Soderberg 1000/1
Mikael Lundberg 2000/1
William McGirt 200/1
Frank Adams III 2000/1
Jason Allred 1000/1
Mark Anguiano 2000/1
Matthew Borchert 2000/1
Kent Bulle 2000/1
Sam Burns 2000/1
Derek Chang 2000/1
Christopher Crawford 2000/1
Charlie Danielson 1000/1
Derek Fathauer 500/1
Andres Gonzales 1000/1
Nick Hardy 1000/1
Brandon Harkins 2000/1
J.J. Henry 500/1
Jim Herman 500/1
Justin Hicks 500/1
Tom Hoge 500/1
Sam Horsfield 1000/1
Travis Howe 2000/1
Billy Hurley III 1000/1
Austin Jordan 2000/1
Sunghoon Kang 500/1
Jason Kokrak 150/1
Andrew Landry 1000/1
Spencer Levin 300/1
Gregor Main 2000/1
Matt Marshall 2000/1
Denny McCarthy 1000/1
Michael Miller 2000/1
Kyle Mueller 2000/1
Rob Oppenheim 1000/1
Carlos Ortiz 500/1
Chase Parker 2000/1
Andrew Pope 2000/1
Aron Price 1000/1
Dicky Pride 1000/1
Tyler Raber 2000/1
Scottie Scheffler 500/1
Richard Schembechler II 2000/1
Wes Short Jr 2000/1
Ryan Stachler 2000/1
Justin Suh 2000/1
Miguel Tabuena 1000/1
David Toms 300/1
Ethan Tracy 1000/1
D.J. Trahan 1000/1
Kevin Tway 500/1
Patrick Wilkes-Krier 2000/1
Tim Wilkinson 500/1
Aaron Wise 500/1
Thitiphun Chuayprakong 2000/1
Thomas Aiken 300/1
Jeev Milkha Singh 1000/1

 

Tony George is a 25 year veteran sports handicapper and is on a major roll in MLB again this season, and you can find Tony’s insights and Guaranteed Plays at www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com

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