Today’s Top Line Moves


It was another winning day for those placing diamond wagers and they will look to continue their good fortune with five more differing opinions from oddsmakers on Wednesday. Do not forget to review the MLB nuggets, which are 109-78, 58.2 percent on the season.

MLB – San Francisco at Philadelphia 7:05 EDT ESPN

The virgin money line that was sent out on this ballgame was -215, but what was when Barry Zito and Cole Hamels (12-5, 2.62 ERA) was still the pitching matchup, but since Matt Cain (8-6, 3.06) moved up a day, the number is a more realistic -175 or lower. The more telling number in this battle is the total, which fell from 7.5 to 7. Cain has a strong history of falling below the number with a 39-21 UNDER mark on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. Hamels takes the ball with a 32-18 UNDER record vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game, but the Phillies are 17-5 OVER having won four of their last five games this season. 3DW PositionPlay Over

MLB – Kansas City at Boston 7:10 EDT FSKC, NESN

There was no shortage of runs scored last night at Fenway, as the teams combined to score 22 times. At this point of John Lackey’s career, just the mention of his name sounds like a high scoring affair and this matchup was released at 10.5. But the Red Sox right-hander has a 1.86 ERA in his last three starts and Kansas City’s Bruce Chen (5-3, 3.30) has been close to as good at 2.84 and the total has crumbled to 10. This is a tough call and you have two reasonable choices to make, either to bet Lackey or Boston. The Red Sox are 7-0 UNDER after batting .350 or better over a three-game span this season or support Lackey who is 13-4 OVER with the Green Monster over his shoulder if his club is off a win. 3DW PositionPlay Under

MLB – Minnesota at Texas 8:05 EDT FSNO, FSH

With 43 runs having been tallied in this series already, the total leaping from 9.5 to 10 would hardly qualify as a shocker. Minnesota’s Brian Duensing (7-8, 4.53) has had an uneven campaign and his ERA is six in his last three outings. The Rangers Colby Lewis (10-7, 3.93) is 5-0 with a 2.22 ERA in past seven starts, yet still maintains an unhealthy ERA of 5.31 at home. With Duensing 8-1 OVER throwing after dark and Lewis 9-1 OVER in night home games, it seems the line makers might have been correct. 3DW Position – Play Over

MLB – Chic. Cubs at Milwaukee 8:10 EDT CSN, FSWI

Carlos Zambrano (7-5, 4.70) is not the hard throwing young man he used to be with a powerful fastball and biting slider, but he still gets his groove on at Miller Park. Zambrano is 7-0 with a 2.40 ERA his last eight starts in Milwaukee, including a no-hitter against Houston in a relocated Astros’ home game on Sept. 14, 2008. Against Brewers hitters in Wisconsin, he’s been nearly as potent with a 6-0 record and 2.85 ERA. The total has sunk from 8.5 to 8 with Zack Greinke getting by on reputation not results. Greinke (7-4, 4.84) is 11-2 OVER in his 13 starts this season and this one angle might be tell the story. The Brewers are 10-0 in home games after allowing three runs or less in two straight games this season with average total score of 11.3 runs. 3DW Position – Play Over

MLB – Arizona at San Diego 10:05 EDT FSAZ, CH4

The lone money line contest that has shifted significantly is this NL West tilt. San Diego was a -130 choice, but has plummeted to -115 or lower. Ian Kennedy for Arizona is 11-3 with a 3.22 ERA and his WHIP is 1.131. The Padres have had issues with starting pitchers who permit few runs and don’t walk many batters and are 2-10 at Petco Park vs. a NL hurler whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. 3DW Position – Arizona wins

3DW Bonus Info

MLB Money Line Nugget

Jair Jurrgens of the Braves is 18-2 against the ML as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in his career.

MLB Totals Nugget

Trevor Cahill is 11-1 UNDER in home games if Oakland is off a win the last two seasons.

MLB Run Line Nugget

Mike Pelphrey of the Mets is 3-11 against the RL as a road underdog when the run line price is -160 to -105 the last two years.


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