Thursday Line Moves and Free Picks for June 29th


Two of the totals we had yesterday will involve the same games today, along with side action for line moves. In addition, we have some CFL action for you. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (170-118, 59.0%), to see what we are thinking. See you back tomorrow.

MLB – (905) N.Y. METS at (906) MIAMI  7:10 ET  SNY, FSFL

Last night’s game sure appeared to be an Over and New York did their part in scoring eight times, unfortunately they held Miami to zero. Baseball bettors will attempt to get their money back and moved the total upward again from 9 to 9.5. That might not be so easy with Jose Urena (6-2, 3.33 ERA) starting for the Marlins and Seth Lugo (2-1, 3.72) taking the ball for the Mets. We are all aware of New York’s propensity for Over’s, however, the Fish are averaging 2.6 RPG in their last seven games and road teams (Mets) with the total is 9 to 9.5,batting .325 or better over their last five contests, against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs in his last outing, are 42-14 UNDER.

Betting Trend – 69% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Under

MLB – (909) ATLANTA at (910) SAN DIEGO  9:10 ET  FSSE, FSSD		San Diego could do something they have not done in over two and half months tonight, win consecutive series. Having beaten Detroit last weekend and splitting the first two tilts with Atlanta, those betting baseball give the Padres a chance to accomplish this, moving them from a +101 underdog to -115 favorites. The key number for the Friars is four. The Pads average only 3.6 RPG, but if they score four or more times, they have won 16 of their last 19. San Diego will face the Braves Jaime Garcia (2-5, 4.03) and they average only 2.6 RPG against lefties and Garcia has 2.57 ERA against them.

Betting Trend – 83% backing San Diego

Doug’s VPID TakeLean Atlanta


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MLB – (925) L.A. DODGERS at (926) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 ET  SNLA, FSW

After three straight Under’s in this Freeway Series, take a wild guess what the total did? That’s right, sunk from 8 to 7.5 and some pitcher named Clayton Kershaw (11-2, 2.47) probably has something to do with it. The Angels have not scored more than one earned run off Kershaw in three straight tries and while some are talking about he’s already allowed a career-high 17 home runs, look at his ERA! With the great lefty pitching and the Dodgers having only 13 hits in three games in this series, I too prefer the UNDER.

Betting Trend – 66% backing Over

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Under

CFL – (371) OTTAWA  at (372) CALGARY  9:00 ET  TSN

I guess they do things differently in the CFL scheduling-wise. Including last year’s Grey Cup, this is the third time in a row these teams are meeting. Both previous battles had these squads ringing up at least 31 points, yet the original total was set at 59 and has come down to 57 points. Maybe the defenses will figure something out, nonetheless, when I see these two have played six straight OVER’s and Ottawa is 8-1 OVER as an underdog, my support goes towards more points.

Betting Trend – 55% backing Under

Doug’s VPID TakePlay Over


Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 138-146-8 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 87-78-3 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 216-207-11 ATS


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