We finally have something different on a Thursday, football and to honor exhibition games you can bet on, here are today’s biggest line moves to consider. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (199-165) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
NFLX – (255) MINNESOTA at (256) BUFFALO 7:00 ET
Normally these line moves are predicated on news about player participation, but for the first time in recent memory, coaches have not been particularly forthcoming. Minnesota has gone from a +1 to -2 and the only real information I have is coach Mike Zimmer is running a no nonsense camp and the presumption is that will show on the field and besides, the Vikes are 8-1 ATS in August of late.
Betting Trend – 83% backing Minnesota
Doug’s VPID – Lean Minnesota
NFLX – (257) WASHINGTON at (258) BALTIMORE 7:30 ET
Though I have not seen anything official, my guess word has leaked out that Joe Flacco will not play at all and Baltimore had been flipped from -1 to +1.5. However, coach John Harbaugh has a very strong track record this time of year (23-13 ATS).
Betting Trend – 88% backing Washington
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Baltimore
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NFLX – (263) PHILADELPHIA at (264) GREEN BAY 8:00 ET
Philly’s Doug Pederson was very serious about setting a tone in his first year as head coach and the Eagles were 4-0 SU and ATS in the preseason last year and Green Bay is well established and has a different value system for football right now. This is likely why Philadelphia went from +2 to -1.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Philadelphia
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Philadelphia
NFLX – (265) NEW ORLEANS at (266) CLEVELAND 8:00 ET
Sean Peyton was being coy, but reports out of New Orleans is few if any presumed starters will see the field in Cleveland and in turn the Saints blew up from a Pick to -3. After last year, the Browns will take a victory anywhere they can find one.
Betting Trend – 65% backing Cleveland
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Cleveland
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 155-172-10 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 109-88-3 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 252-230-13 ATS