Sports-Watch Sports Betting Line Moves


On Tuesday, let’s take a look at some of the biggest sports betting line moves in basketball. We will also share our opinions on the outcomes and invite you to review the records of handicappers at Sports-Watch to see if they are accordant with how you prefer to wager.

NBA – (503) BROOKLYN at (504) PHILADELPHIA  7:05 ET   YES, CSP

The streaking Nets have won five of six with P.J. Carlesimo as interim coach for Brooklyn. Carlesimo has installed an offense more based on ball movement than isolation plays and the Nets have averaged 101.3 points per game, since he took over, compared to 94.5 under former coach Avery Johnson this season. This has allowed basketball bettors to feel comfortable enough to raise the total from 186 to 187 for their encounter with Philadelphia. The Sixers are 1.5-point favorites and are 9-1 OVER when handing six or fewer points at the Wells Fargo Center. S-W Take – Play Over

CBB – (515) CLEMSON at (516) DUKE  7:00 ET  ESPNU

Top-ranked Duke has won 14 in a row (8-6 ATS) over Clemson at Cameron Indoor Stadium and 26 of 28 overall and opened as 18-point home favorites. Despite having an inexperienced backcourt and being the third-lowest scoring team in the ACC, those betting on basketball have lowered the Tigers to +16. For those wagering, the Blue Devils are just 1-3 ATS in their last four outings, giving the appearance the oddsmakers are on to Coach K’s club and the fact the Dukies are 7-17 ATS at home since last season. S-W Take – Duke covers

CBB – (517) ALABAMA at (518) MISSOURI  7:00 ET  ESPN

Since the beginning of the school year, it has been a historical year from a sports perspective at Missouri, joining the SEC. Tonight is the Tigers first official basketball contest as a league member and it is a home game against the Crimson Tide. Since defeating Illinois on Dec. 22, Missouri was taken to OT and lost at UCLA and was fortunate to squeak by Bucknell 66-64 this past Saturday. In spite of Alabama only winning twice in their last seven tries, Mizzou has tumbled from a -10.5-point favorite to a -9, with hoops bettors unconvinced of the Tigers 17-6 ATS mark against teams outscoring opponents by four or more points a contest. S-W Take – Missouri covers

CBB – (521) DRAKE at (522) CREIGHTON  8:00 ET  ESPN3

Creighton’s Doug McDermott is one the top players in the country for the 14-1 (10-3 ATS) Bluejays. He’s third in the country in scoring and his team has few offensive limitations to go along with an improving defense. Nevertheless, not everybody is on board with Creighton who faces Drake (6-8, 4-7 ATS), losers of three consecutive Missouri Valley contests. Creighton was released by oddsmakers at -21 and has cascaded down to -17.5. The Bluejays are 7-0 ATS after playing as a home favorite. S-W Take – Creighton covers

CBB – (527) OHIO STATE at (528) PURDUE  9:00 ET  ESPN

Will Ohio State’s lack of offensive balance be exposed on the road at West Lafayette? According to those handicapping college basketball, the answer is a resounding “No”. The Buckeyes were sent out as 6.5-point road faves over defensive-minded Purdue and faster than Alabama scoring points on Notre Dame in the BCS title tilt, Ohio State was up to -8.5. The Buckeyes are a very solid 21-9 ATS off a Big Ten loss as a favorite; however, the Boilermakers are 9-0 ATS at home game when the total is 135 between 139.5. S-W Take – Purdue covers

Sports-Watch Weighty System

CBB ATS System

Play On road teams as a favorite or pick (Illinois State), a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) on Tuesday nights. (25-6 ATS since 1997)

NBA ATS System

Play On road teams (Miami) off a home win by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%). (46-17 ATS since 2008)

NBA Totals System

Play OVER on home teams (Houston) when the total is 210 or higher, having won four of their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team. (24-2 since 1996)


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