We have the typical large card on Hump Day this time of year, packed with wagering opportunities. Here is a look at all the latest Line Moves for Wednesday and you can see if they line up with what you are thinking. We also share our opinions on the outcomes and invite you to review the records of handicappers at Sports-Watch to see if they are accordant with how you prefer to wager.
NBA – (705) ORLANDO at (706) NEW YORK 7:35 ET FSFL, MSG
This has not been any easy series for linemakers to get a read on a total, as only twice in the previous dozen meetings have the number landed within two points of the closing number. Tonight’s Eastern Conference clash has seen the total cascade from 200 to 198 in spite of the fact these two clubs are 10-1-1 OVER since November of 2009. An important aspect to the outcome could be the Magic’s Arron Afflalo, who is day to day with a strained left calf that kept him out against Brooklyn when Orlando only scored 77 points. S-W Take – Lean Over
Mark Lawrence has hit over 62 percent of his monitored NBA plays this season.
NBA – (723) L.A. LAKERS at (724) PHOENIX 10:35 ET ESPN
Steve Nash will have a number of different emotions returning to Phoenix for the first time since being traded to the Lakers. Nash and his current team are beginning to come together with three straight victories and they are about to embark on LA/1’s longest road trip of the season. Basketball bettors also divergent feelings and altered this Pacific Division total from 201 to 202.5. We have a sharp contrast for this matchup, with L.A. 17-4 OVER versus division foes and the Suns 11-2 UNDER in a revenge spot this season. S-W Take – Lean Over
CBB – (725) NORTHWESTERN at (726) MICHIGAN 6:30 ET BTN
Michigan is the top-ranked team in the country since the Fab Five was patrolling the hardwood in Ann Arbor two decades ago. Those betting on basketball are less impressed and felt the oddsmakers overvalued the Wolverines on their home court against Northwestern and moved them from -18 to -16. Whether bettors felt Michigan might be peeking ahead to a dramatically bigger conflict with Indiana ahead or knowing the Wildcats are 6-0 ATS against teams with a win percentage of .800 or higher past the midpoint of the season, they moved this line significantly. S-W Take – Lean with Michigan
Strike Points Sports is over 58 percent in college hoops picks.
CBB – (735) VCU at (736) RHODE ISLAND 7:00 ET
Virginia Commonwealth has been topped their last two times out to fall out of first place in the A-10. VCU played unfocused, shooting below 39 percent in both games and uncharacteristically allowed the opposing teams to convert on over 47 percent of shot attempts. With Rhode Island an unimposing 6-12 (8-8 ATS), hoops bettors have been on pounding the road team and jettisoned them from -11 to 12.5. The home team is 4-12 ATS when catching points at the Ryan Center and is shooting just 39.1 percent on their own floor. Yet VCU is not in prime position with a 7-18 ATS mark as a favorite of 10 or more. S-W Take – Lean with the Rams (the home kind)
CBB – (757) TOLEDO at (758) BALL STATE 7:00 ET
Each of these MAC squads closed extended losing streaks with a victory the last time out and will attempt to build on what they accomplished. Toledo was deemed the better club by oddsmakers, as they made the Rockets a one-point choice. But basketball wagering aficionados are ignoring Ball State’s 5-5 and 1-6 ATS record at Worthen Arena and flipped the Cardinals to 1.5-point home favorites. Why? Simple, Ball State is 12-3 and 11-4 ATS in the last 15 get-togethers at their joint. This is a tricky situation since the Cardinals are 0-7 ATS off a conference triumph. S-W Take – Lean Toledo
Sports-Watch Weighty Trends
NBA ATS Trend
Coach Del Negro’s Clippers are 14-4 ATS in road games after allowing 85 points or less.
CBB ATS Trend
New Mexico’s Coach Alford team is 41-10 ATS after permitting 60 or less points in consecutive contests.
NHL ML Trend
Vancouver has won six straight at home vs. Colorado.