NFL football is back for Week 2 of the preseason and a couple contests have revolving numbers. Also, we have three nighttime baseball games in which sides and totals are well off their released numbers. We ask you to review all the line moves and we also share our opinions on the outcomes.
NFLX – (401) DETROIT at (402) CLEVELAND 7:30 ET WXYZ, WKYC
For reasons unknown, this matchup has been named the “Great Lakes Classic”, which is odd since the results do not matter. Cleveland handled St. Louis last week 27-19 and second-year QB Brandon Weeden showed the effects of working with Norv Turner and looks very comfortable in the Browns new offense. Detroit flew by the Jets 26-17 as 4.5-point favorites and Lions starters showed they might blitz more this upcoming season and use a two-back set to run more effectively. Detroit was a Pick and is now at +1.5. Just remember DEEtroit is 10-1 ATS in preseason non-conference clashes. SWM Take – Detroit covers
NFLX – (405) CAROLINA at (406) PHILADELPHIA 7:30 ET WCCB, 6ABC
Though Michael Vick is the presumed regular season starter, Nick Foles will have his chance to make his case for Philadelphia tonight. New coach Chip Kelly has said this is a real competition and Foles will spend at least most of his time with the first unit. The Eagles defense was shredded for 248 yards on the ground last week and will need to improve against Carolina. The Panthers lost several close games a year ago and will try and tie up the loose ends which caused defeats. With totals raising significantly this preseason, this matchup has been pounded by football bettors from 41.5 to 44.5. Over 90 percent of wagers placed are on the OVER. SWM Take – Lean with Over
MLB – (907) N.Y. METS at (908) SAN DIEGO 10:10 ET SNY, FSSD
The Mets have to feel cheapened, despite pounding out 31 hits against the Dodgers; they tallied only eight runs and were swept by the best team in baseball right now. Zach Wheeler (5-2, 3.63 ERA) will attempt to further limit an already soft San Diego offense. Wheeler has been brilliant on the road with a 2.21 ERA and posting a 4-0 record (Mets 5-1). He will be opposed by Tyson Ross (3-5, 2.75), whose earned run average proves he deserves a better record. Diamond watchers studying baseball lines have dumped the total from 7.5 to 7 and the New Yorker’s are 17-8 OVER against NL West opponents this season. This might not been enough of a reason to play. SWM Take – Slight Lean with Over
MLB – (915) BOSTON at (916) TORONTO 7:07 ET NESN, RSN
For the third straight day, those betting on baseball cannot leave these two teams alone and lowered Boston from -140 to -125 or less on the money line. The Red Sox are only 4-5 on this road trip and would like to close the sojourn on a positive note. They will give the ball to Jake Peavy (9-4, 4.50) in search quality results, who has been both good and bad in two starts. Toronto is receiving its money’s worth from Mark Buehrle (8-7, 4.43), who is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA in his last four starts (all Blue Jays wins). Toronto will have a shot since the Jays lefty is 29-14 in home games the last three seasons. (Team’s record) SWM Take – Lean with Toronto
MLB – (919) CHIC. WHITE SOX at (920) MINNESOTA 8:10 ET CSN, FSNO
Accept for brief periods over his eight-year career, Mike Pelfrey (4-10, 5.32) has mostly disappointed with a 54-64 big league record. It has been more of the same coming over from New York and the tall right-hander is 0-4 with a 5.85 ERA in nine appearances at Target Field. This inferior performance is having an impact on this AL Central encounter where even the last place White Sox are a shrinking road underdog. Chicago opened at +135 and is hovering around +120 after taking a series against Detroit. However, the Pale Hose might not be such a hot wager having a major league-worst 7-29 road record since May 18, including falling in the last nine. SWM Take – Lean with Minnesota
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Manager Ron Roenicke and Milwaukee are 10-31 when playing on Thursday’s.
MLB Totals Trend
Manager Jim Leyland and Detroit are 68-42 OVER after seven or more consecutive road games.
NFLX ATS Trend
San Diego is 11-2 ATS off a home loss.