It’s on to the NFL (thankfully) and like last week, some of these numbers have been floating quite some time. That is why I did not include the Vikings/Rams side and total because the alterations happened after Sam Bradford was injured. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (109-81 L45D)
NFL – Thursday (461) GREEN BAY at (462) SEATTLE 8:30 ET NBC
Have to admit caught off guard a little with the total rising from 45 to 46.5. While both offenses can move the ball, the defenses, especially Seattle’s, keep teams out of the end zone. The Seahawks are 26-11 ATS the past two years and the average total score of these games have 41.3 PPG. Betting Trend – 73 percent on the Over
NFL – (463) NEW ORLEANS at (464) ATLANTA 1:00 ET FOX
New Orleans has looked like a team with legit Super Bowl aspirations and the wagering public likes what they see and moved the Saints from +2 from back in late June to -3 today. Both teams look improved, but New Orleans appears more complete as a team and very hungry and is 6-1 and 5-2 ATS in the Georgia Dome. Betting Trend – 90 percent on New Orleans to cover
NFL – (467) CLEVELAND at (468) PITTSBURGH 1:00 ET CBS
Only in the last 10 days has this line moved in this AFC North confrontation, which means it appears nobody was paying close attention. Pittsburgh has gone from -5 to -6.5, which makes all the sense in the world because the Steelers own Cleveland in the Steel City with a 19-2 and 14-7 ATS record. Betting Trend – 77 percent on Pittsburgh to cover
NFL – (479) TENNESSEE at (480) KANSAS CITY 1:00 ET CBS
Go ahead, give Alex Smith a fat contract, nobody cares, because nearly everyone is convinced the Chiefs 9-0 start was a mirage and this is a third place team in the AFC West. Kansas City has been lowered from -5.5 to -3.5 against an ordinary Tennessee bunch. K.C. is 5-19-1 ATS as home favorite the last seven years. Betting Trend – 65 percent on Kansas City to cover
NFL – (483) CAROLINA at (484) TAMPA BAY 4:25 ET FOX
One year after a revival, the betting public has already lost faith in Carolina and in this divisional opener; they have been switched from -2 to +2. While we agree the Panthers are not going to win 12 games again, but Tampa Bay is not exactly a NFC South contender and Carolina knows how to win in west Florida with an 8-5 SU record. Betting Trend – 59 percent on Carolina to cover
NFL – Monday (489) N.Y. GIANTS at (490) DETROIT 7:10 ET ESPN
Evidently nobody was impressed with the Giants 5-0 preseason record, because New York is a growing underdog as they prepare for the opener in Detroit. The G-Men opened at +4 and the number is up to +5.5. But history buffs like me know the visitor is 8-0 ATS in this series, which is definitely food for thought. Betting Trend – 76 percent on Detroit to cover
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Texas is 5-20 after scoring and allowing three runs or less this season.
MLB Totals Trend
Detroit is 17-4 UNDER after batting .315 or better over a five-game span this season.
MLB Run Line Trend
Oakland is 18-7 in home games after a loss this season.