A shorter slate has left no fewer opinions from those betting baseball. In addition to the four game reviews, the Reds and Cubs total has really jumped (7 to 8.5) with the wind expected to be blowing out tonight. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (9-5 L4D)
MLB – (905) WASHINGTON at (906) MILWAUKEE 8:10 E ESPN2
The baseball establishment and several handicappers have been on Milwaukee being a .500 team since their hot April start, but with their complete team back, the Brew Crew has zoomed to the best record in the National League at 47-30 (+15.1 units). The Brewers open up a homestand against another first place team in Washington and baseball bettors are not as enthralled with the home team, lowering them from -130 to under -120 on the money line. While Matt Garza (4-4, 4.02 ERA) does not have the greatest numbers, he is 2-0 with a 2.41 ERA in his last five outings. The Nationals Gio Gonzalez has made just one start since coming off the DL and is 0-3 with a 6.46 ERA in six starts since April 18. Washington is 9-27 as a road underdog of +100 to +125 the last two seasons. SWM Take – Milwaukee wins
MLB – (911) N.Y. YANKEES at (912) TORONTO 7:05 E YES, RSN
Toronto limps home in more ways than one after a 3-6 road trip. The Blue Jays might be without the services of Jose Bautista and Brett Lawrie, who both are anticipated to go on the DL. This is not good news for Toronto; however, motivation should not be an issue after just being swept by New York last week and knowing they will not face Masahiro Tanaka in this series. Those making MLB picks like the revenge angle, moving the Jays from -115 to -128, thinking Edwin Encarnacion, Melky Cabrera and pitcher Marcus Stroman (3-2, 5.14) will be enough to subdue the Yankees. However, the Yanks are 7-0 in road games after two or more consecutive losses this season. SWM Take – New York wins
MLB – (913) CHIC. WHITE SOX at (914) BALTIMORE 7:05 E CSN-C, MASN
Even with Chris Sale (6-1, 2.20) on the mound, the White Sox have become less of sure thing and the betting odds have been dropped on Chicago from -130 to -110. Certainly this has something to do with Wei-Yin Chen (7-2, 3.78) going 4-0 with a 3.47 ERA in his last eight outings and the fact the Orioles offense comes alive when the left-hander toes the rubber with Baltimore scoring 6.59 runs in his starts this season. Chicago has lost eight of 10, while the O’s are on a 4-1 spurt and with the total at 7.5, the Birds are 19-6 at Camden Yards when the total is 7 to 8.5 with Chen pitching since 2012. SWM Take – Lean Chicago
MLB – (919) L.A. DODGERS at (920) KANSAS CITY 8:10 E FSW, FSKC
The Dodgers continue to be among the finest road teams at 24-15 (+7 units) and face Kansas City in interleague action. The Royals after climbing to first place in the AL Central have misfired four times and slunk back to second place. K.C. has attracted hope at least, sinking from +125 to under +115 versus Zack Grienke (9-3, 2.57). The right-hander has a 1.17 ERA in two appearances against his old team, but he is 17-30 in road games after giving up two or fewer earned runs in his last two outings. (Team’s Record) Royals’ starter Jeremy Guthrie (4-6, 3.86) will try to end the negative streak and he has never faced Los Angeles in his 11-year career. This is the Dodgers first visit to K.C. since 2005. SWM Take – Dodgers win
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
The Cubs are 20-53 after allowing two runs or less the last two seasons.
MLB Totals Trend
San Diego is 20-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
MLB Run Line Trend
Baltimore is 2-13 in home games after a win this season.