All three NBA games tonight are seeing a certain amount of movement on the totals, but one in particular has moved more and we will cover it. The NHL and MLB also have line moves and we will break it down for you. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll.
NBA – (511) GOLDEN STATE at (512) L.A. CLIPPERS 10:35 E TNT
Thanks to their owner, the L.A. Clippers are thinking about more than trying to advance in the NBA Playoffs. No need to rehash what you have been following and basketball bettors are certainly not, lowering the total two points to 209. At this juncture, this represents the lowest total in the series if it holds, evidently with defense being given a higher priority in what is close to a must win for both clubs. Though the side number has been stable, you have wonder if the oddsmakers believe Golden State could dictate tempo, since they are 17-5 UNDER after two consecutive home games this season. SWM Take – Lean Under
MLB – (973) CLEVELAND at (974) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 E STO, FSW
Last night there was a lot of sharp money action on Cleveland with Anaheim in a bad scheduling spot, yet Indians failed to capitalize on it. Though most people would not put Jered Weaver (1-2, 4.11 ERA) and Corey Kluber (2-2, 3.90) in the same stratosphere in terms of pitching ability, the Tribe has been shaved quite a bit on the money line, down 25 cents to +115. Possible reasons include Weaver off to a mediocre start and being 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA in seven home starts versus Cleveland. In addition, Kluber just tossed his first career complete game against Kansas City, collecting a career-high 11 strikeouts while not allowing an earned run in a four-hitter. He became the first Cleveland pitcher to throw a complete game while recording 11 strikeouts, no walks or earned runs since Len Barker’s perfect game in 1981. Nonetheless, the Indians bats are cold and they are 9-30 with an on-base percentage of .260 or worse over their last three games since 2012. SWM Take – Angels win
MLB – (951) N.Y. METS at (952) PHILADELPHIA 7:05 E SNY, CSN-P
The Phillies are back home after a successful 6-4 road trip and have Cole Hamels (0-1, 3.00) back in the rotation, which should bode well. But Jon Neise (1-2, 2.45) and the Mets have been better then presumed and the New Yorkers have been dropped from +155 to +140. As one can tell by Neise’s ERA, he’s been reliable thus far and is 17-12 (+13.2 Units) as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Mets record) Also helping the cause is Hamels is 7-13 lifetime against the Mets and Philly is merely 5-13 the past two years hosting their division rivals. SWM Take – Lean New York
NHL – (77) NEW YORK at (78) PHILADELPHIA 7:35 E TSN, MSG
After Monday’s practice heading into Game 6, Philadelphia was confident they could even the series. “We’re home, we can be better, guys were loose,” Flyers defenseman Kimmo Timonen said. “Looks good to me.” Part of that confidence has to come from the Rangers having lost an inconceivable 11 consecutive contests when leading in a series. Pucks bettors are not completely on board and lowered Philly from -115 to -105. The key to contest could be the first team to reach two goals, since they have won four of the five outings in this playoff matchup. SWM Take – Philadelphia wins
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
NBA Totals Trend
The L.A. Clippers are 17-2 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points the last two seasons.
MLB Totals Trend
Minnesota is 17-4 OVER this season.
NHL Totals Trend
New York is 16-5 UNDER on the road in the first round of the playoffs.