Hard to imagine we are already coming up on the quarter pole of the college football season. Yet here we are and we have the early college football line moves ready to review along with the money flow. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (128-103 L51D)
CFB – (307) INDIANA at (308) MISSOURI 4:00 E SECN
Missouri has played so well in destroying Toledo and Central Florida; it caused a raised eyebrow to see the Tigers sinking from -16 to -13.5 against Indiana. The Hoosiers can move the ball and score with their offense, but they allowed 571 yards in the loss to Bowling Green. Indiana is 0-8 ATS after allowing 525 yards in last outing. Betting Trend – 88 percent on Missouri to cover
CFB – (309) MASSACHUSETTS at (310) PENN STATE 4:00 ET BTN
Penn State seems to be living a charmed life to have a 3-0 record. Their first two wins they had a -5 turnover margin all together and yet found two victories and last week they had a +4 TO margin and somehow hung on the defeat Rutgers 13-10. With Massachusetts off two contests they should have won, the Nittany Lions have been dumped from -29.5 to -26. Betting Trend – Almost 70 percent on UMass to cover
CFB – (311) MARSHALL at (312) AKRON 2:00 ET W-ESPN
The Thundering Herd is weekly being considered as team outside the Power 5 conferences which could post a 12-0 regular season. Marshall has a dynamic offense and improved defense from prior years. So why would they be a falling road favorite from -12.5 to -9.5? Simple under coach John, “Doc” Holliday the Herd is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite. Betting Trend – 64 percent on Akron to cover
CFB – (325) BOWLING GREEN at (326) WISCONSIN 12:00 ET ESPN2
Despite Bowling Green’s upset of Indiana with a backup quarterback, those betting football are not taking the bait and have sent Wisconsin from -21 to -26.5. In that game the Hoosiers ran for 235 yards and everyone knows the Badgers at home could put up 300-plus yards versus the Falcons. Wisconsin is 13-3 ATS at home when they rush for 250 to 300 yards. Betting Trend – 86 percent on Wisconsin to cover
CFB – (329) ARMY at (330) WAKE FOREST 3:30 ET W-ESPN
Wake Forest has no running game and is starting a freshman QB John Wolford. The lack of offense places Wolford in a no-win situation and because Army can control the ball with their running game, the Black Knights have been flipped from +1.5 to -2.5-point favorites. On major issue, Army is 1-11 ATS as road favorites. Betting Trend – 52 percent on Wake Forest to cover
CFB – (345) MID. TENNESSEE ST. at (346) MEMPHIS 7:00 ET W-ESPN
Middle Tennessee State needs 3 OT’s to hold off Western Kentucky 50-47. Contests that last that long are taxing mentally and physically and now the Blue Raiders have to go on the road and take on a Memphis squad who is fresh coming off a bye. The Tigers have leaped from -7.5 to -12. Memphis has not been this large a favorite in six years. Betting Trend – 89 percent on Memphis to cover
CFB – (389) OKLAHOMA at (390) WEST VIRGINIA 7:30 ET FOX
The Sooners have lost their leading rusher, are 0-3 ATS against West Virginia and face a hot Mountaineers offense on the road in prime time engineered by QB Clint Trickett. All those factors are playing directly into Oklahoma tumbling from -12 to -7.5 at Morgantown. However, seems like an over-reaction and watch the line go back up by game time. Betting Trend – 62 percent on Oklahoma to cover
Sports Watch Monitor Weighty Trends
MLB Money Line Trend
Minnesota is 4-29 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.
MLB Totals Trend
Baltimore is 20-3 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 this season.
MLB Run Line Trend
Toronto is 1-10 in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs a game in the second half of the season since 2012.