Week 2 of the NFL season concludes on Monday night and the sportsbooks have tossed us some betting odds that at the very least are cause for consternation for those placing sports picks.
Are the Indianapolis Colts overrated after making it to the AFC championship game last season or was last week an abomination at Buffalo and they quickly rebound? And what about the New York Jets, can that strong running game abuse what appears to be a soft Indy defensive line and can the defense pressure Andrew Luck as well as the Bills did?
Time to examine the best bets for Monday night.
The Jets Have Chance to Cover
Most NFL handicappers are presuming a raucous crowd at the Lucas Oil Stadium and an angry bunch of Colts will run roughshod over the Jets. This thinking is understandable, because a lot is expected of Indianapolis this season and realistically, Gang Green is not supposed to be in their stratosphere.
But here is the deal, the Colts offensive and defensive lines were shredded by Buffalo. Luck had no time to throw and Frank Gore had zero space to run. While the Jets might not be as talented as Buffalo’s defense overall, they are not exactly paupers either.
New head coach Todd Bowles likes his defense to bring pressure and he has a secondary that is more than good enough to play with the Colts pass catchers, especially without T.Y. Hilton, who figures miss this game with an injury.
Andre Johnson is a massive downgrade for Hilton and rookie receiver Donte Moncrief may be too raw to go against a secondary that features CB Darrelle Revis. Defensive coordinator Kacy Rodgers is likely to call plenty of blitzes against Luck, who was 10 of 24 when blitzed against the Bills last Sunday.
I will either be right with this NFL pick to take the Flyboys with seven or way off. I’ll take my chances against the NFL odds.
If the Jets Cover, than the Total has to be…….
New York seemingly is not built for shootouts, being more focused on running the ball and using quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick in the pass action passing game. If the Jets fall behind and have to play catch-up, Fitzpatrick in a known turnover machine which raises the possibilities of an Over.
However, if you take the totals odds of 46.5 at face value, that suggests Indianapolis should win approximately 27-20 and the Colts are 59-32 UNDER when they allow 15 to 21 points, which has me thinking Under.