Besides the line moves we have written about below, Detroit and Boston were already good-sized favorites and has blown up, while some bettors are not 100 percent even Chris Sale can help the slumping White Sox and they have been lowered 15 cents. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (68-56) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
NBA – (715) GOLDEN STATE at (716) OKLAHOMA CITY 9:00 ET TNT
Despite being largely outplayed in two of three games, Golden State is still being given the benefit of the doubt their championship pedigree will shine through and they have been lifted from a Pick or -1 at sportsbooks to -2 at Oklahoma City. The Warriors need to exhibit more patience on offense and make the extra pass, while playing defense and stopping dribble penetration. Maybe Steve Kerr can convince his team to do this, but the Thunder are playing like a team on a mission.
Betting Trend – 66% backing Golden State
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Oklahoma City
MLB – (953) ARIZONA at (954) PITTSBURGH 7:05 ET FSAZ, ROOT-P
With Arizona’s Shelby Miller (1-5) sporting an ERA of 6.64, baseball bettors did not hesitate to lift this NL confrontation from 7.5 to 8.5. Miller pitched into some tough luck last season, but he’s tried to be too perfect instead of himself with big contract and been rocked. The situation certainly fits Pittsburgh who is 27-15-1 OVER on the season and 11-1 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 in 2016.
Betting Trend – 97% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
MLB – (963) TORONTO at (964) N.Y. YANKEES 7:05 ET RSN1, YES
If R.A. Dickey (2-5, 4.50) and Nathan Eovaldi (4-2, 4.44) does not sound like an AL East pitcher’s duel, there are others who share the same sentiment and pushed the total from 8 to 8.5. The Yankees offense has shown more life in winning seven of nine, averaging 4.4 runs per game compared to season average of 3.9. However, still have to consider Toronto is 10-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 and is 7-0 UNDER away with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.20 the last 10 games this season.
Betting Trend – 88% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
MLB – (969) BALTIMORE at (970) HOUSTON 8:10 ET MASN2, ROOT-SW
With Baltimore in first place and Houston in last in their respective divisions, those betting baseball look at the five runs the Astros have tallied on current losing streak and wonder how they beat the Orioles Tillman (6-1, 2.61). Houston with Doug Fister (4-3, 4.22) have been moved from -115 to +100 or higher underdogs. Hard to quibble with the O’s at 17-5 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season, yet Fister and the ‘Stros have won all four of his starts this month and for whatever reason he is 10-2 in May the last three seasons. (Team’s record)
Betting Trend – 84% backing Houston
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Houston
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 91-99-1
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 72-60-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 166-152-2