Sports Betting Line Moves and Free Picks for March 15th


The First Four of the NCAA Tournament might be getting started, but NIT totals is where the line moves are happening for Tuesday and we have the whole picture. This plus a NBA line move also. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, which are on sweet 37-22 run, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.

NBA – (531) BOSTON at (532) INDIANA 7:05 ET  CSN-NE, FSMW

We understand teams change over periods of time, it goes with the territory. However, when these teams met two months and two days ago the total was 204 and Boston won 103-94, going UNDER the number. This time the total began all the way up at 210 since Boston has been on an offensive surge. This appears to be the right train of thought, especially when the Pacers are 12-2 UNDER at home off a road loss by 10 points or more the last three seasons.

Betting Trend – 63% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under

CBB – (547) AKRON at (548) OHIO STATE  7:00 ET ESPN

www.vegasproinsidersdaily.comAkron suffered disappointing loss to Buffalo to lose chance to make Big Dance, but a possible nice consolation prize would be knocking off in-state big brother Ohio State. This is one of three NIT totals that were really altered, which is up four points to 147.5. The Zips are 16-6 OVER on the road the last couple years, but the Buckeyes are not great offensively and do fine work on defense and we can see them winning based on the spread by 75-70, making this UNDER play. Fishy number based on betting trend.

Betting Trend – 95% backing Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under

CBB – (549) DAVIDSON at (550) FLORIDA STATE  7:00 ET  ESPN2

Like usual, Davidson can score points and is averaging 79.2 points a game. The Wildcats defense has left quite a bit to be desired this season in conceding 81.4 PPG on the road and with Florida State ringing up 80.8 PPG in Tallahassee, the total has blown up from 164.5 to 170. Really seems like an overreaction, especially when you think about the original total and tossing in the Seminoles favored by nine and that makes 87-76 final score, which based on the circumstances sounds accurate.

Betting Trend – 77% backing Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under

CBB – (553) ALABAMA at (554) CREIGHTON  9:00 ET ESPN

The final adjusted higher total has these clubs climbing from 138.5 to 144. Alabama has real offensive challenges at 66.8 PPG, not making this an ideal choice to follow. However, Creighton like to play fast and dictate tempo which could drag the Crimson Tide along with the Blue Jays, who are only average defensively. I’ll lean with the move with Creighton 6-0 OVER after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games this season.

Betting Trend – 79% backing Under

Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over


Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 36-34

Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 21-20-1

Line Movement Direction Record – 53-55-1


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