Light schedule in baseball, thus, are focus is on the night games for line moves and we also added a WNBA contest for those looking for additional action. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (119-92, 56.5% of late) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
MLB – (957) N.Y. METS at (958) ATLANTA 7:10 ET SNY, FSSE
New York is still a good-sized road favorite, but they have really tumbled from -170 to under -150 against an Atlanta club that is 9-27 at Turner Field. The conjecture raised is twofold with continued wariness about Matt Harvey (4-9, 4.76 ERA) and the Braves of late actually playing like a major league team in winning six of seven. The Mets should win this one, but Bravos starter Matt Wisler (3-7, 4.28) has baffled New York batters with 1.55 ERA in four starts, winning three times. The Metropolitans should be playing with fervor having been swept by Atlanta at home last weekend.
Betting Trend – 73% backing New York
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean New York
MLB – (959)ARIZONA at (960) COLORADO 8:40 ET FSAZ, RTRM
Arizona will look to do what they do best this season, win on the road. The D-Backs are 5-1 on current trip and 21-15 (+11.4 units) on the season. If they were to win this four-game series, they could overtake Colorado for third place in the NL West. Those betting baseball however are more interested in the total and have lifted it from 10.5 to 11. The genesis for this is not Zack Greinke (10-3, 3.54), who has a 2.89 ERA in past nine starts. No, it would be the Rockies Eddie Butler (2-3, 5.97), who’s ERA is 9 in past three starts. Greinke does have an ERA of 4.11 against Colorado, but seems dialed in, which is why I prefer the lower score.
Betting Trend – 58% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
MLB – (921) OAKLAND at (922) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 ET CSN-CA, FSW
Having been swept at Houston, the Angels are back home to face Oakland with the Anaheim fans being able to see Tim Lincecum for the first time in a white and red uniform. Lincecum was sharp in first start for Halos in defeating the A’s in their building last Saturday, but oddsmakers have been decreasing the number on Los Angeles from -150 to -140 or lower, depending on sportsbook. Oakland counters with Kendall Graveman (2-6, 4.87), who helped his team defeat the Angels 3-2 in last start, but is miserable 2-5 (A’s record) with 7.03 ERA on the road.
Betting Trend – 97% backing L.A.A.
Doug’s VPID Take – L.A.A. wins
WNBA – (601) SAN ANTONIO at (602) DALLAS 8:30 ET
At one point, Dallas was nearly as bad as San Antonio (2-10, 6-6 ATS), when in the midst of six-game losing streak. However, the Wings have found their wings and flown to three straight wins (4-0 ATS streak) and are now at 6-7 SU and ATS for the season. Tonight they have been pushed from -9 to -10 point favorites, thanks to offense which has shot over 52 percent in two of past three outings. Though the Stars are abysmal, they have covered three of four and are 8-1 ATS in road games after scoring 70 points or more in five straight games the last three seasons.
Betting Trend – 51% backing San Antonio
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean San Antonio
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 115-118-1
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 98-81-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 206-204-2