With hockey completed for a few weeks, the NBA Finals are the last of the major sports other than baseball. There were line moves in the side and total for Game 5 tonight, but those were predicated on Draymond Green’s suspension. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (101-75, 57.3% of late) to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
MLB – (951) CHIC. CUBS at (952) WASHINGTON 7:05 ET ESPN
For only the sixth time all year, the Chicago Cubs are in the underdog role and enough bettors are not sure they belong there, lowering them from +140 to under +120. Kyle Hendricks (4-5, 2.90 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (7-4, 3.57) does not sound like a close game, until you realize the Cubs starter has a 1.50 ERA in three outings against the Nationals, with three team victories. There are many reasons to support Chicago tonight, but Washington having been swept in four-game series with better pitcher and hot offense (7.7 RPG in L7) is enough to choose them.
Betting Trend – 62% backing Chicago
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Washington
MLB – (953) CINCINNATI at (954) ATLANTA 7:10 ET FSOH, FSSE (side and total)
While the above contests features the two best clubs in the NL, this line move focuses on the two worst. Atlanta opening as a -130 home favorite seemed ludicrous, as they are 7-25 at Turner Field and tonight’s starter Aaron Blair is 0-4 with a 7.13 ERA. The Braves have since fallen to a Pick (-105), though Cincinnati is hardly a sure thing with 7-20 road record and Daniel Wright making his second major league start. Both offenses are would not be considered strong and neither are the bullpens, thus, with both starters not expected to last more than six innings, the total has sprouted from 8.5 to 9. Prefer the total more than the side, with the Bravos 24-11 OVER with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games the last two seasons.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Over and 78% on Atlanta
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over, slight lean on Atlanta
MLB – (955) L.A. DODGERS at (956) ARIZONA 9:40 ET SNLA, FSAZ
Your humble baseball handicapper will be at this contest tonight to see if the total should actually be adjusted from 8 to 8.5. The Los Angeles offense has tallied 13 runs in past six contests and faces former teammate Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.84), who is throwing like he did when he was in L.A. with 1.64 ERA in past three outings. Mike Bolsinger has a 5.75 ERA in four starters for skipper Dave Roberts and with the average total score at Chase Field is 10.3 runs per game, thus, the higher numbers makes sense. Nevertheless, while you cannot ignore the Snakes are 7-0 OVER on Monday’s, the Dodgers are 14-3 UNDER in road games off a one run loss versus a division rival the last three seasons.
Betting Trend – 76% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take -Lean Under
MLB – (965) MINNESOTA at (966) L.A.A. ANGELS 10:05 ET FSNO, FSW
Let’s see, would I take a sharp object and stab myself in the hand or the arm? OK, that’s a bit extreme, but it like choosing the lesser of two evils in this AL contest. Do you really want to back a team that is 7-22 away from its 10,000 lakes, with Ricky Nolasco (2-4), who has lost three of his past four decisions and compiled a 6.39 earned run average since the start of May? But is soft-tossing Jered Weaver (5-5, 5.56) pitching for a team that is coming off 1-6 week really that inviting? Sportsbooks have lowered the Angels from -145 to -115, but with the total at 9, we find the Twins are 1-15 on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.
Betting Trend – 95% backing L.A.A.
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean L.A.A.
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 106-108-1
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 88-75-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 193-180-2