Time to skip to Tuesday and we have our first look at the line moves for the NFL Wild Card weekend. We also check in on the NBA and college basketball for their happenings. Take a minute to reviews all the latest betting trends and our free picks for today’s contests, which are 54-40, 57.4%, recently. See you back here tomorrow when we have line moves in the college football national championship and much more.
NBA – (703) MILWAUKEE at (704) CHICAGO 8:05 ET NBA-TV (side and total)
With the news oft-injured Derrick Rose has been upgraded to ‘Probable’ after sitting out the past three games because of tendinitis in his right hamstring, the side and total are on the move. Chicago has been lifted from -7 to -8.5 and the total has leapfrogged from 198.5 to 202. Offhand the total makes the most sense with Milwaukee 22nd in points allowed (103.6) and 21st in field goal percentage defense (45.7%) and the Bulls averaging 106.7 PPG in their last seven outings. I would hesitate on siding with Chicago who is 7-12 ATS at home and the Bucks a sharp 7-1 ATS with no rest.
Betting Trend – 87% backing Under and 66% on Chicago
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over and lean Milwaukee
CBB – (739) NEBRASKA at (740) IOWA 9:00 ET BTN
In sports betting talk, if there was ever a true “sandwich game” Iowa fits it like peanut butter and jelly on white bread. Iowa is coming off remarkable week, knocking off then No.1 Michigan State and coming back from double digits at Purdue to win 70-63. With a few days to soak up the adulation at Iowa City before heading to East Lansing next, bettors are counting on letdown for Hawkeyes, dropping them from -16 to -14 against Nebraska. Besides the situation, Iowa has thumped the Cornhuskers four straight times by an average of 15.7 PPG. Not easy to back the Huskers who are 2-11 ATS recently on the road.
Betting Trend – 50-50 percentage
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Iowa
NFL – Saturday (105) PITTSBURGH at (106) CINCINNATI 8:15 ET CBS
With the uncertainty of who might play quarterback for Cincinnati and Pittsburgh not sure to have running back D’Angelo Williams, the total has fallen a point to 45.5. Reports are Andy Dalton will give it a go in practice, while other reports have coach Marvin Lewis preparing AJ McCarron as starter. With Williams unofficially, day to day, if he cannot go or is ineffective, that means seldom-used Fitzgerald Toussaint is the Steelers main ball carrier. Both totals in the previous battles this season were 49 and they were split. Too many athletes at skill positions and Pitt is on 8-0 OVER playoff run to go below the number.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Over
NFL – (103) SEATTLE at (104) MINNESOTA 1:05 ET NBC
Not sure if this or Pitt./Cincy game will be more physical, but it will be close. Seattle’s defense is different than the teams that made last two Super Bowl appearances, but at this point no less effective in leading the NFL in fewest points allowed (17.3 PPG). Minnesota learned important lessons about being physical on defense in losses to Green Bay and the Seahawks and has permitted 16 PPG in the other remaining contests since. This has helped shove the total from 42 to 40.5 and we will back the Vikings 11-4-1 UNDER record this season.
Betting Trend – 67% backing Under
NFL – (107) GREEN BAY at (108) WASHINGTON 4:40 ET FOX
Just like most horse bettors, they are less concerned about pedigree and look at recent results. This is what football are doing when surmising the current form of Green Bay and Washington. It is pretty obvious who is playing better at this moment and the Redskins have been pushed from a Pick to -1. In looking at keys, the Packers have eight turnovers in last three games, Washington has three miscues in their past six. Also, Green Bay has allowed 127.5 rushing yards a contest in their last half dozen contests, while the Skins have given up 100 or fewer rushing yards in five of last six encounters.
Betting Trend – 61% backing Washington