Today’s line moves include some prime action in the NBA, along with contests from the Big East and the ACC. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (Slight leans no longer graded), to see what we are thinking after11-4 mark the last few days. See you back here on Hump Day.
NBA – (509) L.A. CLIPPERS at (510) ATLANTA 7:35 ET PRIME, FSSE
The Clippers won yesterday in spite of the news they have to prepare for a longer than expected absence from Blake Griffin, who is not Roberto Duran (Hands of Stone). This is the final contest of the Clips five-game road trip and they are 2-2 SU and ATS, having lost and not covered the odd-numbers contests. Having played last night, hoops bettors jumped on betting against L.A., moving them from +3 to +5, but this is not as automatic as it appears. The Clippers are 3-3 SU and ATS when playing consecutive road games with no rest, with score differential of +2. And Atlanta is not lock, as teams coming off a road trip of four or more games with only one day off, cover well less than half the time in next outing.
Betting Trend – 95% backing Atlanta
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Los Angeles
NBA – (515) DALLAS at (516) GOLDEN STATE 10:35 ET ESPN
Though Tim Duncan did not play, Golden State demolition of San Antonio by 30 points was through on Monday. The Warriors are starting to draw comparisons to the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls at 41-4 (26-17-2 ATS). With Golden State trying to tie the second-longest home winning streak in the NBA at 40, they have been pumped up from -14 to -16.5 or higher against Dallas. The Mavericks have handed Golden State one of its four losses on Dec. 30th, but Steph Curry was injured and did not play, otherwise, the Warriors has won seven straight over Dallas (6-1 ATS).
Betting Trend – 63% backing Golden State
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Golden State
CBB – (531) DEPAUL at (532) BUTLER 7:00 ET CBSSN
DePaul coach Dave Leitao understands he has no shot in playing at Butler’s pace if he wants the Blue Demons to have a shot at winning. He is not the only person thinking that and the total has dropped accordingly by three points to 145.5. DePaul averages 69.8 PPG and the Bulldogs are at a robust 82.3 PPG (89.1 at home) and Leitao’s team did a good job in meeting 22 days ago, falling at home 77-72. Cannot see Butler scoring fewer than 80 points and since they allow about what DePaul averages, I’ll take the OVER.
Betting Trend – 88% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
CBB – (541) LOUISVILLE at (542) VIRGINIA TECH 8:00 ET W-ESPN
Virginia Tech is 4-3 in the ACC and spooked several supposedly better teams in arriving at 6-1 ATS mark in conference action. Despite this, Louisville has vaulted from -8 to -10 on the road in Blacksburg. The Cardinals might be 5-1 in ACC contests, but are only 2-4 ATS. Where the case is made for Rick Pitino’s squad is on the glass, where they are one of the top rebounding teams in the country at +11.2 differential (sixth nationally) and the Hokies are at minus 7+ in conference play. With Virginia and North Carolina up next, the Cardinals do seem slightly overpriced now.
Betting Trend – 85% backing Louisville
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Virginia Tech