Time to move ahead to Tuesday and we have totals line moves in the Big Ten and Big 12, plus sides action in the NBA. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (Slight leans no longer graded), to see what we are thinking after 8-3 mark the last few days. See you back here on Hump Day.
NBA – (705) WASHINGTON at (706) TORONTO 7:35 ET CSN-MA, SN1
There is nothing prehistoric about how the Raptors are playing, winners of eight in a row and the only contest they failed to cover was by a bucket against Orlando in London. Hoops bettors like what they see and have taken Toronto from -6 to -8 against Washington. The Raptors are after the season sweep (1-2 ATS) of the Wizards, having been jettisoned in four games in the playoffs by Washington last April. Can certainly make a case for Toronto, but leery with visiting team 11-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
Betting Trend – 92% backing Toronto
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Washington
NBA – (713) SACRAMENTO at (714) PORTLAND 10:05 ET CSN-NW
For all the talk about Golden State, San Antonio and Cleveland’s HR tactics this month, time to pay attention to DeMarcus Cousins. The Sacramento forward has been a beast as the NBA’s leading scorer this month with 34.4 points per game. He’s been unstoppable in the last two contests with 48 and 56 points and right now, he would be leading the Kings into the playoffs for the first time in his career. Why then would Sac-Town be a burgeoning underdog at Portland, growing from +2.5 to +5? What has bettors attention is Kings two OT loss to Charlotte last night. Besides the extra playing time, Sacramento is 2-9 SU without rest and though 7-4 ATS appears good, they have lost by 8.5 PPG.
Betting Trend – 69% backing Portland
Doug’s VPID Take – Portland covers
CBB – (735) INDIANA at (736) WISCONSIN 7:00 ET ESPN
The initial reaction to seeing Indiana as only a 1.5-point road favorite at Wisconsin was bewilderment. However, this could be on the move with the total up from 139.5 to 142. Why this matters is the Hoosiers potentially more setting or at the very least dictating the tempo for longer periods. Your typical Indiana away contests averages over 151 PPG, with the Badgers at 136.4 PPG. The sportsbooks starting point favors Bucky Badger for the side and total, yet the higher the total climbs would seem a benefit to Tom Crean’s club. With the adjusted number, we find Wisky at 6-0 OVER in Madison when the total is 140 to 149.5, which should benefit Indiana.
Betting Trend – 68% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
CBB – (745) TCU at (746) TEXAS 8:00 ET W-ESPN
The opening total of 131 in this Big 12 bash looked ripe for taking on the total and evidently I was not the only one thinking this as it has shot up to 135. Oddsmakers were figuring TCU would continue to struggle on the road, averaging only 59.5 PPG and Texas has tended to play to how the opposing team plays, with new coach Shaka Smart not yet having the players he wants for his frantic style. The new number makes this a much harder prediction, because the Longhorns defense does not generate many turnovers and is 15-5 UNDER after four straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or less turnovers.
Betting Trend – 96% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under