We have the usual Thursday material looking at the line moves in all the sports and we have some dramatic action happening in quite a few contests today. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (Slight leans no longer graded), to see what we are thinking. See you back on tomorrow for weekend edition.
NBA – (709) SAN ANTONIO at (710) PHOENIX 10:35 ET TNT
It was already determined San Antonio was likely to have a rather easy time with Phoenix, but basketball bettors are thinking the Spurs will eclipse the Suns and taken them from -12.5 to -16. These two teams could not be any more opposite at this time with San Antonio on an 18-1 and 15-4 ATS roll and Phoenix 1-14 and 4-10 ATS. The Spurs have not played since Sunday and the only aspect which could slow them down is dreaming about Monday’s matchup at Golden State, otherwise, this rested crew is 9-1 ATS playing only their second game in five days this season.
Betting Trend – 79% backing San Antonio
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean San Antonio
CBB – (721) DREXEL at (722) JAMES MADISON 7:00 ET
In this Colonial Conference clash, favored James Madison has tumbled three points as home favorite over Drexel to -9. In attempting to understand why, the Dragons are 1-11 SU away from home, yet are 6-4 ATS, losing by 8.1 PPG. The Dukes are tied for first in the CAA and despite a fine 8-4 home record, they are 3-6 ATS, with winning margin of just 8.8 PPG. This is nothing new for James Madison who is 4-15 ATS as a home favorite or pick the last three seasons, while Drexel is 6-0 ATS in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. Normally this is easy automatic pick, but James Flint of Drexel, has cost me more money than any college coach in all the years I have doing this, betting for or against him, that I quit betting his games three years ago, figuring it was pointless to fight it. Here is my best guess.
Betting Trend – 67% backing James Madison
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Drexel
Gonzaga figured to have a fantastic frontcourt, but would have weakest backcourt to start a season since Mark Few took over as head coach. St. Mary’s brought back zero starters, but coach Randy Bennett’s Australian pipeline brought in a fresh new batch and the Gaels have been super at 15-2 and worshipped by bettors at 12-2 ATS. The Bulldogs backcourt is still not solved and the Zags were lifted from +3 to +5.5. St. Mary’s has lost seven straight to Gonzaga (1-6 ATS), with the past six all by double digits. If they are to breakthrough, this looks like the right time.
Betting Trend – 71% backing St. Mary’s
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean St. Mary’s
NHL – (13) NASHVILLE at (14) WINNIPEG 8:05 ET FSTN, TSN3
These teams return to the same spot they were a week ago and Winnipeg scored late to win 5-4. Nashville closed that contest as a -120 road favorite, but having now lost nine of 12, oddsmakers made them +110 underdogs on the overnight line. By midmorning the Predators had been flipped to favorites, all the way to -125, with revenge evidently the key motivator. Frankly, not much to like about either outfit, but I will support the line move with the Jets 0-7 after allowing two goals or less in two straight games this season.
Betting Trend – 54% backing Winnipeg
Doug’s VPID Take – Nashville wins