Congrats to the Denver Broncos for one of the most domineering defensive efforts ever in a Super Bowl. However, we are talking about sports betting and that is now in the rearview mirror and we move ahead to today and the freshest early line moves. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (Slight leans no longer graded) to see what we are thinking. See you back here Tuesday.
NBA – (511) TORONTO at (512) DETROIT 7:35 ET SN-1, FS-D
Detroit might have an excellent 16-8 and 16-7-1 home record, but bettors are all over the hottest team in the Eastern Conference in Toronto, who is seeking 14th victory in 15 tries (10-4 ATS). The Raptors have sailed from +1 to -2 as the make fourth stop on six-game road trip. Toronto has been incredibly efficient on offense, averaging of 110 points per 100 possessions, which is fourth in the NBA since Jan.9th. They’re averaging 108.0 points in their last 11 victories, shooting 42.4 percent from 3-point range. The Raptors are also rested and are 4-0 and 3-1 ATS when playing three or more days between games, winning by 10.8 points game.
Betting Trend – 86% backing Toronto
Doug’s VPID Take – Toronto covers
NBA – (515) ORLANDO at (516) ATLANTA 8:05 ET NBA-TV
Though Atlanta should be in full revenge-mode against Orlando, having lost yesterday 96-94 to the Magic, the Hawks have flown from -9.5 to -8. Though Orlando has lost 11 of 13, they have manage to improve at least from wagering perspective and are 4-1 ATS of late. There is also confusion about which Atlanta offense which show, the one that has either shot over 51% three times or the other that has connected on under 40 percent a trio of times. At the adjusted price, let’s take Hawks, as teams off upset loss as favorite versus foe off a SU win as home underdog are 48-24 ATS the last three seasons.
Betting Trend – 59% backing Orlando
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Atlanta
CBB – (525) LOUISVILLE at (526) DUKE 7:00 ET ESPN
Louisville initially handled the bad news of not being able to play in postseason because of self-imposed ban, but that anger does subside and reality comes into play. Bettors are calling for fewer points as the Cardinals head to Durham to face Duke and lowered the total from 148.5 to 147. A good reason why is how Louisville could pester the Blue Devils guards into mistakes, taking away shot opportunities. I prefer going the other way backed with the knowledge the Cards are 8-1 OVER in road games after allowing 65 points or less in two straight contests.
Betting Trend – 57% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over
CBB – (529) NOTRE DAME at (530) CLEMSON 9:00 ET ESPNU (side and total)
With Notre Dame off big emotional win over previously No.2 North Carolina, they have to travel to Clemson, who is off bitter three-point setback at Virginia Tech. Motivation will be on the side the Tigers and they have been lifted from a Pick to -2.5 and are 9-2 ATS in ACC action. The total has also come down from 141 to 139.5, with Clemson 9-2 UNDER at home after permitting 60 or fewer points and the Irish 12-3 UNDER after being a home underdog.
Betting Trend – 50-50 split and 92% on Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Leans with Clemson and Under
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 4-6
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 1-2