We have five big line moves in a variety of sports to start a new week of wagering. One game not included is the Red Sox dropping from -160 to -125, having to travel from Houston after 5:03 marathon last night. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, which are sizzling again at 27-17, to see what we are thinking. See you back here on tomorrow.
NBA – (565) L.A.CLIPPERS at (566) PORTLAND 10:35 ET TNT (side and total)
Portland got themselves back in the series with Game 3 victory, but will have to play even better according to the sportsbooks adjustment. The Trail Blazers closed as one-point underdogs on Friday and opened at +2.5, before being elevated even higher to +3.5. The belief is Los Angeles will have more spunk and slow down Damian Lillard, like they have the five previous games, all Clippers victories (4-1 ATS). The oddsmakers dipped the total from last contest at 208 to 206 and early on today it is down to 205. This could happen with the Clips 9-0 UNDER versus good 3-point shooting teams making 36 percent or more of their attempts the second half of the season.
Betting Trend – 81% backing Los Angeles and 78% on Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Leans with Los Angeles and Under
MLB – (905) ST. LOUIS at (906) ARIZONA 9:40 ET FSMW, FSAZ
Zack Greinke (1-2, 5.25 ERA) has started to throw like the pitcher Arizona paid for, allowing three runs with 12 strikeouts in 14 innings over his last two. Though St. Louis has not been as consistent to start the year, there are concerns about the Diamondbacks at home (3-7) and Grienke at Chase Field (9.90 ERA in two starts) and the D-Backs have been lowered from -130 to -115. St. Louis is 40-21 the last couple years after three or more away games, but despite the slow start, the Snakes right-hander is a notoriously great home pitcher and is 91-35 as a home favorite of -110 or higher in his career. (Team’s Record)
Betting Trend – 75% backing Arizona
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Arizona
MLB – (913) OAKLAND at (914) DETROIT 7:10 ET CSN-CA, FSD
Oakland brings in surprising 7-2 road record to Detroit, to face Tigers offense which has stopped hitting. The Tigers have lost seven of nine and in six of those tilts scored three runs or less. Detroit might not have to score many the way Jordan Zimmermann (3-0, 0.00) has looked in a Tigers uniform, not allowing a run this season over 19 1/3 innings in three starts. He might have to pitch this well against as Kendall Graveman (1-1, 2.04) has also been tough to score on also. The slumping Tigers were released at -160 and been knocked down a few notches to -145. The A’s have lost last two, but are 6-0 (+7.7 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season and worth a look.
Betting Trend – 81% backing Detroit
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Oakland
NHL – (71) CHICAGO at (72) ST. LOUIS 8:35 ET NBCSN
Cannot blame sports bettors for taking St. Louis down from -120 to -110 or lower against Chicago even at home in Game 7. The Blackhawks have won three Cup’s in six years having players with a wealth of huge game experience, while the Blues have lost in the first round the past three seasons. The Blackhawks might lose, but they are 16-4 when it comes time to close out a series.
Betting Trend – 91% backing St. Louis
Doug’s VPID Take – Chicago wins
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 70-76
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 49-42-1
Line Movement Direction Record – 118-115-1