Here are the latest Line Moves from Week 16 and the Bowl games. But WAY more important, 3Daily Winners wishes you the Best Christmas ever! Always review the nuggets since they are worth a look.
NFL – (103) OAKLAND at (104) KANSAS CITY 1:00 EST CBS (side and total)
For this AFC West showdown, the total has dipped from 43 to 42. If interim head coach Romeo Crennel can stifle the Green Bay offense, he sure can cut off what Oakland does to score points. Two factors to think about, the Raiders are 7-0 UNDER on the road after four or more Over’s and Kansas City is 12-4 UNDER at home since last season. Update – The total for the most part has stayed at the same number, but Kansas City has been bumped up from -1 to -2.5 across the board despite having failed to cover last five at Arrowhead against the Raiders. 3DW Position – Play Over and the other is one of my plays.
NFL – (109) ARIZONA at (110) CINCINNATI 1:00 EST FOX
This is a situational line move based on current form. Arizona is 6-1 SU in last seven and 6-2 ATS since the day before Halloween, playing great defense and making enough offensive plays. Cincinnati 0-4-2 ATS in their last six tries and is an abhorrent 1-11 against the spread as home favorite. It did not take long for the Bengals to fall from -5.5 to -4-point favorites, despite the Cardinals 0-7 ATS mark on the road the last quarter of the season. Update – Approximately 60 percent of sportsbooks reviewed have gone backwards on Arizona, now at +4.5. 3DW Position – Arizona covers
NFL – (111) MIAMI at (112) NEW ENGLAND 1:00 EST CBS *New
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games and with the way the New England defense continues to flounder, bettors has lowered the Patriots below a very important number. The Dolphins opened at +10.5 and sunk to +9.5. I would expect late money to flow towards Brady and company with their 26-10 ATS record the last two weeks of the regular season. 3DW Position – One of my plays
NFL – (115) N.Y. GIANTS at (116) N.Y. JETS 1:00 EST FOX
This is a must win for the only two teams that share a stadium. The bettor’s attention has been on the total, as 47 points did not hold and 45.5 is the adjusted figure. There are several strange aspects to think about this city matchup. The two teams are a combined 25-6 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. The Giants are 8-2 OVER off a home loss, with the Jets 28-12 UNDER after permitting 400 or more yards. Update – A small move back to 46 points has started and might continue. 3DW Position – One of my plays
NFL – (117) MINNESOTA at (118) WASHINGTON 1:00 EST FOX
It sometimes doesn’t take much to sway football bettor’s thoughts. Washington’s upset of the Giants gives them some positive mojo and Minnesota’s potentially worst season ever continues, having to play outdoors, not their favorite environment. The Redskins have been elevated from -5.5 to -6.5, with the thought they are just the better team. But this isn’t the Skins most comfortable role since they are is 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last three seasons. Update – The marketplace is extremely satisfied with this position and left it alone since Monday. 3DW Position – One of my plays
NFL – (119) TAMPA BAY at (120) CAROLINA 1:00 EST FOX
Conventional wisdom would suggest if you have the No. 26 and No. 31 teams in points allowed facing each other, the total would be mounting like the presents around the Christmas tree. Instead, we have witnessed a sinking total, down a point to 48. The best explanation is these division partners are 9-2 UNDER at Carolina. Don’t buy it, these are two mediocre defenses and that will fall prey to a shootout, weather permitting. Update – This total has continues to dwindle with 47.4 and 47 the most common numbers seen. 3DW Position – Play Over
NFL – (121) ST. LOUIS at (122) PITTSBURGH 1:00 EST FOX *New
With the news of Ben Roethlisberger not going to play, Pittsburgh has crumbled from -16 -12 and the total has taken a similar hit from 38 to 35. 3DW Position – Play the Rams and Under
NFL – (123) SAN DIEGO at (124) DETROIT 4:05 EST CBS
Philip Rivers is back to his old self and San Diego is scoring over 36 points a game in their last three outings. On top of that, Detroit’s Matthew Stafford is not that far behind and his Lions are averaging 29.3 point a contest at Ford Field. A rising total from 50.5 to 52 seems realistic, particularly with the Chargers 6-0 OVER in road games after a win by 10 or more points. Update – The total has stayed like recent car sales, stagnant. 3DW Position – play Over
NFL – (127) PHILADELPHIA at (128) DALLAS 4:15 EST FOX *New
The former America’s team (Green Bay is now according to the latest polling), Dallas, has dropped from -3 to -1.5 against Philadelphia. What Jerry Jones team do we see, the one that is 4-15 ATS as a favorite or the one who is 6-0 ATS at home after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards in last game. In the case of the Eagles and Vick, – Who let the dogs out? 3DW Position – One of my plays
CFB – (213) NEVADA vs. (214) SOUTHERN MISS 8:00 EST ESPN (side and total)
Coach Larry Fedora might be heading to North Carolina after the Hawaii Bowl but he first wants to have his named associated with possibly the first 12-win team in Southern Miss history. Fedora’s high-octane offense might also be linked to one of the higher scoring bowls of the year with this contest rising two points to a total of 62. Southern Miss is 15-5 OVER in road games vs. offensive teams scoring 31 or more. Nevada’s perception as a high scoring outfit is taken into consideration and they are 4-1 UNDER in previous bowl games. Update – The total is rising the Hawaiian sun, all the way up 64 points. Football bettors have also taken a shine to Southern Miss, chasing them from -6 to -8.5. 3DW Position – Lean with Over and Nevada
CFB – Monday (215) NORTH CAROLINA vs. (216) MISSOURI 5:00 EST ESPN2
Missouri’s closing statement of the regular season with a 3-0 record has impressed the wagering world and lifted the Tigers from -3.5 to -5. Missouri played a tougher schedule and has a 102 to 73 edge in offensive and defensive yard differentials compared to opponents season average. Every bettor should know the Tigers are 3-8 ATS at neutral sites, while North Carolina is 19-9 ATS as an underdog. Update – Missouri is getting respect line a SEC team and is up to -5.5. 3DW Position –Possible play
3Daily Winners Nuggets
NFL ATS Nugget
Chicago is 8-27 ATS in December road games the past 19 years.
NFL Totals Nugget
San Diego is 8-0 OVER in road games after playing at home the last two seasons.
Holiday Money Line Nugget
Bet the OVER on snacks and cookies eaten this weekend.