We now head into the last quarter of the season with everything on the line, along with what will be some really dreadful contests. Regardless, totals do not show good or bad teams, they just reflect what the two clubs have to offer. Last week was of the most lopsided for totals with the UNDER 11-5, leaving the season record at 99-92 after 13 weeks.
Please note all the NFL odds for each contest are listed after the home team.
With the last two meetings between these teams at 15 and 25 total points, this being the lowest total of the week makes perfect sense. We are still going contrarian with Jacksonville 15-5 OVER after one or more Under’s.
Easy Over right? Not so fast. Baltimore’s offense has been running the ball during their three-game winning streak and they could keep the Chiefs offense parked on the sidelines. The Ravens are 9-2 UNDER after playing last game on the road and let’s not forget K.C. is 4-1 UNDER at home this season.
The Ravens have the league's top defense in yardage and points allowed. Give Wink his due. pic.twitter.com/4WRk1OIOoK
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) December 4, 2018
The Colts being shutout adds complexity to determining what side to be on. Chances are they Andrew Luck will be revved up for this confrontation and Houston is 6-0 OVER after having a +2 or more turnover margin.
The initial thought was this will be an easy Over. When digging deeper, found this system. When a team like Carolina has lost four in a row and the total is 42.5 to 49 in December, the UNDER is 25-4.