In sports, one of the old sayings is – sometimes the best trades are the ones you don’t make. For Phoenix, this has turned out to be abundantly true. It was known all over the league the Suns front office was trying to move Amare Stoudemire and were reportedly very close with both Cleveland and Miami, however Phoenix didn’t pull the trigger on either deal and Stoudemire stayed. This non-move has turned out to be the best move for the franchise.
At the trade deadline, the Suns (45-26, 39-30-2 ATS) were bouncing back between seventh and eighth position for NBA playoffs, but no more. Phoenix has won 13 of last 16 (11-4-1 ATS), including last five in a row. Not only have the Suns moved up to fifth spot in Western Conference, they are one loss behind Dallas, Denver and Utah to potentially rise as high as the No. 2 slot out West with 11 games to play.
Among the varied reasons for this upheaval is Stoudemire. Often thought to be a malcontent, more worried about personal stats than winning, he has been absolutely domineering with 30.8 points while adding 10.0 rebounds over the last 11 games.
“He’s been great,” coach Alvin Gentry said of the forward, who leads the team with 22.9 points and 8.8 boards per game. “We try to take advantage of situations where they try to put undersized guys on him.
“He’s come through for us big time. He’s played great. The last month and a half, I think he’s been the best player in the NBA.”
The Suns are 3-1-1 ATS during this latest winning streak, which including titillating 152-114 explosion over Minnesota. Phoenix has shot 52.7 percent or better in four of last five outings.
The person that led the Suns revival is now the coach of the New York franchise, Mike D’Antoni. Thus far in taking over the Knicks he has been similar to his predecessors, unsuccessful at 26-45. The roster lacks many of the attributes he had in the desert, namely a point guard even remotely similar to Steve Nash.
New York isn’t all that interesting to watch either, ranked 11th in scoring at 101.7 points per game and has played UNDER in eight of last 11 contests.
The folks at DiamondSportsbook.com have Phoenix as 10.5-point favorites, with total of 224 and that spread could be beatable with this super system.
Play On favorites of 10 or more points after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, against opponent after going Under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
This isn’t a system that comes up frequently, just over two times a season on average since 1996. While it doesn’t pop up often, the results certainly do stand out with 25-5 ATS record, 83.3 percent. Among the comforting aspects are the favorite has NEVER lost and the average winning margin is 17.9 points per game. This system has also stayed consistent, 13-2 ATS the last five seasons.
To further enhance to probability of this system being correct, Phoenix is off a 133-131 squeaker over Golden State Monday night and the blazing hot Suns are 11-1 ATS after a close win by three points or less over the last three seasons.