With a normal week to survey the betting odds, we have a plethora of line moves to talk about today. Check back Sunday for all the updates and free picks. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (230-182 of late and recent 16-9 mark), when posted, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
NFL – Thursday – (101) N.Y. JETS at (102) BUFFALO 8:30 ET CBS
Seemingly, if there is one aspect you can count on from a Rex Ryan coached team is around three bone-headed plays a game and sometimes they effect outcomes. That happened in Bills loss at Baltimore and this uneasiness has Buffalo falling from -2.5 to Push or +1 against rival Jets. Still the Bills are 5-0 SU and ATS recently and should get it done.
Betting Trend – 84% backing Jets
NFL – (265) MIAMI at (266) NEW ENGLAND 1:00 ET CBS (side and total)
With all the missing parts, not many figured the New England could compete in Arizona. Instead, they shocked everybody and won the game outright, which has direct impact on betting for Miami matchup. The Patriots were elevated from -5.5 to -6.5 and total slipped a digit to 41.5. The total is more attractive than the side for my money early.
Betting Trend – 79% backing New England and 55% on Under
NFL – (271) DALLAS at (272) WASHINGTON 1:00 ET FOX
The Redskins offense had no running game or rhythm against Pittsburgh on Monday night in 38-16 thrashing. Dak Prescott gave a strong accounting of himself in rookie start, but the fact remains the Giants had three touchdown drives with veteran quarterback and Dallas has one. With both these NFC East still trying to find right gear, those betting NFL football have lowered total from 46.5 to 45
Betting Trend – 71% backing Over
NFL – (273) NEW ORLEANS at (274) N.Y. GIANTS 1:00 ET FOX (side and total)
New Orleans had Oakland beat and like the fish that got away coming into the boat, the Saints let the Raiders slip away and lost 35-34. The Giants did nothing special in win over Dallas, with stats and score almost dead even, which could be why New York is down a digit to -4.5 against New Orleans and Drew Brees. Last year’s meeting ended 52-49 final and neither defense really improved dramatically and the total has jumped from 51.5 to 53.
Betting Trend – 65% backing New Orleans and 86% on Over
NFL – (281) SAN FRANCISCO at (282) CAROLINA 1:00 ET FOX
Several factors why San Francisco is up from +11.5 to +13. It starts with situational aspect, 49ers played late Monday night, have a short week and has 10:00 am body clock start after flying across the country. Next, though the Niners played really well in Rams shutout, the Carolina offense is only say, 1000% times more diverse than L.A. offense. Factor in talent difference in squads, the number adds up.
Betting Trend – 50-50 split
NFL – (281) INDIANAPOLIS at (282) DENVER 4:25 ET CBS
The Colts secondary is a complete mess due to injury. They were riddled by Detroit, who does not even have Megatron anymore. Trevor Siemian should be able to deal at home in just his second start and it is a given Andrew Luck will play well against Denver because he always does. The total has been bumped from 44 to 46 and we agree.
Betting Trend – 91% backing Over
NFL – (283) ATLANTA at (284) OAKLAND 4:25 ET CBS
If you watched either pass defense of these two clubs, you did not come away impressed from what you witnessed. That was the general consensus and oddsmakers have been forced to raise the total from 47 to 49.5 in this nonconference clash. Teams like Atlanta off a loss by seven or fewer points playing out of conference are 29-5 OVER.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Over