With Green Bay and New England tied in the fourth quarters, we were looking at possibility another 4-teamer teaser hit. Alas, the Pats scored two touchdowns and we missed out. Nonetheless, we hit two and three teasers, making for a profitable week and that takes are season record to 25-11 on teasers (13-3 the last month) and gets us ever closer to career norms.
Here is a look at the four teasers we like for this upcoming week. If you are new to this article, skip down to below the games to learn a great way to make money betting NFL teasers.
These NFL odds are courtesy of Intertops.
The Atlanta Falcons have hit their stride as winners of three in a row and Matt Ryan has the offense cooking. Cleveland, on the other hand, is in familiar territory as losers of four straight and Bakers Mayfield is learning what happens when he faces professional teams with professional scouts. The Falcons could have an off game, but we now have protection in that event by moving the Dirty Birds to an underdog for this teaser. Any thoughts of Ryan being really slowed down seem unrealistic, with the Browns defense lit up for 33.5 PPG in their past four contests.
Tennessee ended their three-game losing streak in convincing fashion with a physically dominating effort over Dallas. This has to give Titans fans hope they can at least play with New England, especially at home. We know in the NFL anything is possible, but for this teaser, being able to slide under key numbers like 6 and 3 matters and placing the Patriots in a position that the only way this bet loses is if they are upset. In the Patriots last 19 road games as a favorite, their margin of victories been 10.2 PPG. On the teaser side, the Pats are 28-2 against a teaser line in road games versus teams with a completion percentage of 64 percent or higher.
This teaser would seem to have some teeth. Oakland only averages 17.8 PPG and at this point, they have about as many playmakers as Buffalo. If you subtract the 45 points the Raiders scored against Cleveland when they had their most complete arsenal of players, that takes them down to 12 PPG. The Los Angeles Chargers have not faced a murderer’s row of offensive teams in their last four contests, but they have held those foes to 15 PPG. Even if for some unknown reason Oakland reaches 17 points, that means the Chargers have to score 39 or more. If the Bolts lead is as large as anticipated, they are unlikely to push hard in the fourth quarter and just run out the clock.
For starters, Philadelphia is home and is coming off a bye week, while Dallas is on the road on a short week. The Cowboys offensive line is not the same group of a few years ago and the receivers have issues getting open and are well below average. Philadelphia is .500 and has taken their lumps as the defending Super Bowl champs. But playing in a weak division like the NFC East and having a week to regroup should inspire this still above average roster. Like with New England mentioned above, we have tremendous value and just need a victory. The time off has always helped the Eagles and they are 29-2 against a teaser line when playing with two weeks of rest.
Special Note from Author: You should know betting NFL teasers is just not about shaving or adding more points on a spread wager, it is about creating value going against key numbers. This is the real secret to beating the oddsmakers numbers.
The keys numbers we are talking about are 3, 6, 7, 10, 13 and 14. These are the most common outcomes in the NFL and if you can situate your wagers on the right side of these figures, you can dramatically enhance your chances of winning teasers.
Doug Upstone wrote this for ScoresandStats.com.