Tonight is the much anticipated rematch for the college football championship and we the latest info for you, plus line moves in the NBA and NHL, with not much going on in college hoops as we completed this. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow!
CFB – (151) CLEMSON vs. (152) ALABAMA 8:00 ET ESPN
After Clemson shutout Ohio State, a couple media outlets reported Alabama was touchdown favorite. While a few sportsbooks might have released that number, once the consensus line was released, the Crimson Tide were at -6 and have ended up at -6.5.
While nobody can deal with distractions better than Nick Saban, the Lane Kiffin for Steve Sarkisian switch at offensive coordinator is a red flag. It might be a seamless transition, but bettors have to contemplate how this could impact Alabama, especially if the Clemson defense stuffs the run in the first half.
The total dropping from 54 to 51.5 or 51 is a reflection of both squads defenses. We are not expecting anything like last year’s high scoring affair and teams like Alabama after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games, against opponent after a win by 21 or more points, are 45-16 UNDER since 2012. Update – The total has remained unchanged as has Alabama as a favorite. Given how high scoring last year’s game was, both sharps and betting public are all over the lower score. Enjoy the game.
Betting Trend – 89% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
NBA – (703) DALLAS at (704) MINNESOTA 8:05 ET FSSW, FSN
The total is trending downward in this clash, having fallen to 194 from opening 196 figure from the sportsbooks. With Minnesota the home team, their recent play has caused a reaction. For the season the average Timberwolves contest has averaged 208 PPG, however, on their last five outings, that is down to 197.2. In addition, the past four games in the land of 10,000 frozen lakes have all been UNDER’s between these squads. Nonetheless, neither team is very good defensively and our numbers suggest a total score close to 200, which backs what the public is thinking.
Betting Trend – 90% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Over
NBA – (705) OKLAHOMA CITY at (706) CHICAGO 8:05 ET FSOK, CSCH
In contrast to the above game, the total in this title has exploded from 207 all the way to 210.5. Oklahoma City has clicked off three straight OVER’s, with Chicago having gone OVER the number in four of their past five. We think this is an overreaction and find the Bulls are 8-1 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more and the Thunder are 8-1 UNDER in road games after playing a game as a home favorite.
Betting Trend – 87% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under
NHL – (57) DALLAS at (58) LOS ANGELES 10:35 ET FSSW, FSW
As opposed to the teams playing the national championship of college football, here we have a pair of underachieving teams from the Western Conference doing battle. This is their third meeting of the season and they split the first two. This time we have a venue change, now out west and those betting hockey are supporting the visitor, as Dallas has crumbled from +140 to +125. Wish I had a good reason why, but I do not with the Stars on a three-game losing streak and 5-14 SU on the road and the King winners of three of four and 12-6 SU at the Staples Center.
Betting Trend – 80% backing Los Angeles
Doug’s VPID Take – Los Angeles wins
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 48-35 (since 12/01/16)
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 25-17 (since 12/01/16)
Line Movement Direction Record – 76-61 (since 12/01/16)