With just a few days before Christmas, we have a little bit of everything for line moves today in a large variety of sports. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (426-340 of late and now on 34-21 run) when we post them, to see what we are thinking. See you back here tomorrow.
NFL – (101) N.Y. GIANTS at (102) PHILADELPHIA 8:25 ET NBC
Despite the New York Giants having 10-4 record and Philadelphia on a severe downward spiral of 2-9, the money is on the Eagles, lowered from +3 to +1.5 home underdog. Why the Giants are the safer play is their No.6 run defense can take away the Philadelphia ground game and it has been proven Carson Wentz plays better when the Eagles run the ball. Add in Philly averages about four mistakes in the secondary a game, which Eli Manning and Big Blue’s passing offense can take advantage of and you can understand why the G-Men are the play.
Betting Trend – 75% backing New York
Doug’s VPID Take – New York covers
BOWLS – Potato – (219) COLORADO STATE vs. (220) IDAHO 7:00 ET ESPN
Colorado State is 10-2 ATS this season and they are peaking at the right time in winning five of last seven (7-0 ATS), with road setbacks by only five at Boise State and three at the Air Force. The Rams running game went next level in averaging 275 YPG over last five outings and will seek to impose their will on Idaho defense. At this point CSU probably believe they are the best team from the Mountain West and bettors really like them in taking them from -13 to -15. However, Idaho played with a chip on their shoulder, after university officials said they are going back to FCS status for football after 2017 season. The Vandals do not have any numbers that jump off the page, but what they do well is execute and take advantage of breaks and frustrate the opposing team, a sign of a well-coached squad and they are also on 7-0 ATS run. Taking points worth considering.
Betting Trend – 53% backing Colorado State
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Idaho
NBA – (509) SAN ANTONIO at (510) L.A. CLIPPERS 10:30 ET TNT
With Blake Griffin hurt yet, those betting basketball are uncertain about the Clippers and shifted them from -1 to +1.5 home underdogs. Anybody laying down cash on this encounter has to realize how good San Antonio has been on the road at superlative 15-1 (11-4-1 ATS), but Los Angeles is 21-8 SU and over the last couple seasons has played without Griffin for extended periods, so this is nothing new and the Clips improved their depth this year and should be able to handle this. One last element to ponder: When the line is +3 to -3 and teams like the Clippers are off a home win by 10 points or more, against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog, they are 29-7 ATS since 2012.
Betting Trend – 83% backing San Antonio
Doug’s VPID Take – Los Angeles covers
CBB – (531) LSU at (532) WAKE FOREST 9:00 ET ESPNU
LSU is 8-2, but only 4-5 ATS and in their two toughest tests on neutral floors, they got whacked by double digits by Wichita State and VCU. Wake Forest has a similar record at 8-3 (5-4 ATS) and they have been an up and down shooting club, at 50% or better six times and under 37% twice. The Demon Deacons like most teams play better at home and have been lifted from -8 to -10.5 point favorites. Both these teams really have awful trend situations and my power rating have Wake Forest winning anywhere from 7-13 points. Let’s think about small lean with underdog at higher price.
Betting Trend – 94% backing Wake Forest
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean LSU
Public Consensus Record – 51% to 79% – 300-295-3
Public Consensus Record – 80% or Higher – 186-162-2
Line Movement Direction Record – 520-477-5