NCAA Tournament Numbers Support the Madness

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With only seven of the original Top 16 seeds remaining, college basketball bettors and fans of the sports have seen the tournament directly reflect the kind of season it has been, unpredictable.

For the first time, a No.16 seed wins with U. Maryland – Baltimore County’s vanquishing of Virginia. Defensive-minded Cincinnati could not hold a 22-point lead with 11 minutes to play and fell victim to Nevada, who engineered the second-greatest comeback in tournament history.

Most felt Syracuse did not belong in the tournament, but they have proved their worth winning three games in five days to advance. To make their situation more surreal, they entered the tourney 2-8 SU as an underdog and assembled three straight wins in that role.

For just the fourth time in 30 years, a 5-seed did not lose to a 12-seed in the opening round and three of the four are in the Sweet 16. And remember last week when John Calipari was whining about Kentucky being shipped out to Boise for a variety of reasons? Well, nobody has heard a word from Coach Cal now that his team is playing in Atlanta and they are strong favorites to reach the Final Four, matched up against seeds that are ninth and either No. 7 or No. 11.

With all the craziness, let’s look back at what the numbers reflected, starting with sides action, based on the closing lines.

Higher Seeds – 33-15 SU and 21-26-1 ATS

Favorites -36-15 SU and 24-26-1 ATS

 

Favorites of 1 to 4.5 points – 12-8 SU and 8-12 ATS

Favorites of 5 to 9.5 points – 7-4 SU and 5-5-1 ATS

Favorites of 10 to 14.5 points – 11-2 SU and 7-6 ATS

Favorites of 15 or more points – 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS

(One game was listed as Pick)

 

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