Time to move ahead to Tuesday for MLB picks and come up with three quality run line plays. We have the sportsbooks numbers offering the best values, thus it is time to go to work as baseball handicappers.
Have to admit, the contests on the board for run line action has me feeling quite confident with these plays.
With Johnny Cueto out and Josh Smith taking his place for Cincinnati, the Reds betting odds have been moved from -115 to +130 on the money line and the corresponding figures on the run line. That could be great news for Pittsburgh who was just swept at Washington, not having to face a pitcher of Cueto’s abilities.
The MLB odds now have the Pirates at +155 on the RL (-1.5) as they will look to get their offense untracked which has scored 12 runs in their past six outings. They will face the right-hander Smith who is 4-4 with 3.04 ERA in stops both at Double-A and Triple-A this season.
Jeff Locke (4-3, 4.74 ERA) will have the assignment of locking down the Reds lineup and he’s tough at home having throw 16 2/3 consecutive scoreless innings. This correlates with the Pirates having won six straight at PNC Park, where they are 21-11 this season. When it comes to making sports picks, like the fact the Bucs are 23-9 playing against a team with a losing record this season. winning by 1.6 runs a game and teams like Pitt with RL range of (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160), a NL team with an on-base percentage .310 or worse, after scoring three runs or less in three straight games, are
206-128 the past five years.
I have seen Jesse Chavez (3-6, 2.52) several times in spring training pitching for Oakland and always been impressed with how he attacks the strike zone and keeps the ball low. However, I am stunned to see Chavez and the A’s such large favorites at Texas which I think adds some real value to the Rangers on the run line.