Meaningful Line Moves and Free Picks for Feb. 7th


Football is gone, now our full attention is on the winter sports and line moves is ready to dig in! Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks, to see what we are thinking. See you back here for tomorrow.

NBA – (705) PORTLAND at (706) DALLAS  8:35 ET  CNNW, FSSW

Put me down as puzzled as to why Portland would go from +1 to -2 at Dallas. The Blazers have the revenge angle having just lost to the Mavericks four days ago 108-104 as 6.5-point home favorites. Portland is also the fresher squad with Dallas having been dumped in Denver 110-87 last night. Nonetheless, the Mavs have won nine of 13 and are 10-3 ATS in that span and in the last 20 years are 33-13 SU when at home against the Trail Blazers.

Betting Trend 67% backing Portland

Doug’s VPID Take – Dallas covers

CBB – (707) ALABAMA at (708) SOUTH CAROLINA 6:30 ET  SECN		Remember the talk about the SEC having just two really good teams this season? Well, add South Carolina to the mix, as Florida and Kentucky are looking up at the Gamecocks in the standings in the league. South Carolina is 9-1 (6-4 ATS) in the SEC and hosts Alabama tonight, yet there are those betting basketball not on board with coach Frank Martin’s club and have lowered them from -9 to -7 against Alabama. The Crimson Tide can rebound and play defense, which will keep you in a lot games and after their loss at home to in-state rival Auburn 82-77 as 6.5-point favorites, they are 18-6 ATS after a setback as conference home fave. While the case can be made for Tide, the other USC is stronger on both ends of the court and is solid value at this price.

Betting Trend 74% backing South Carolina

Doug’s VPID Take – South Carolina covers

CBB – (729) WAKE FOREST at (730) NOTRE DAME 7:00 ET  ESPNN

After being a very efficient offensive team, Notre Dame has lost four in row, scoring 66 PPG in the process. This has caused concern in betting circles and the total in this ACC affair is down from 161 to 158. Yet, when I look at the fact Wake Forest is averaging over 85 PPG in their last seven outings and they permit 77.5 PPG on the road on 47.3% shooting allowed, expect the Fighting Irish offense to get healthy and move to 8-0 OVER at versus teams making eight or more three- point shots a game the last three years.

Betting Trend94% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take –  Play Over

CBB – (737) SYRACUSE at (738) CLEMSON 8:00 ET  W-ESPN

Another ACC contest has a slipping total, as this ballgame is down two points to 144.5. Once again, not sure what I am missing as these teams are a combined 15-5 OVER in league play. Taking it a step further when looking at road/home dichotomy, Syracuse and Clemson are 14-4 OVER and the Orange is a perfect 6-0 OVER in true away encounters.

Betting Trend – 70% backing Over

Doug’s VPID Take – Play Over


Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 32-28 ATS

Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 14-18-1 ATS

Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 45-45-1 ATS


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