Yesterday, the NHL numbers were moving, but not so far today and for line moves we will instead focus on the NBA Playoffs and night baseball. We also have the biggest line moves on the diamond. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (89-52 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here Friday.
NBA – (505) SAN ANTONIO at (506) MEMPHIS 9:35 ET TNT
Though San Antonio lost both games in Memphis in this series, the money is on the Spurs to wrap up this first-rounder up and they have been pushed from -4 to -5. One can only assume bettors are thinking this is where San Antonio really gets serious. Two concerns come to mind about this rising number, one, the Spurs have allowed over 50 percent twice in the last three games to the Grizzlies and the Memphis is 13-2 ATS at home off a road loss by 10 points or more. I don’t like the game and would lean ever so slightly with the home team.
Betting Trend – 82% backing San Antonio
Doug’s VPID Take – Slight lean Memphis
MLB – (921) SAN DIEGO at (922) ARIZONA 9:40 ET FSSD, FSAZ
Arizona certainly looked better on paper this season, but the biggest conundrum was would their bullpen holdup. Last night it did not, allowing five runs in the 9th inning of a eventual 8-5 setback to San Diego. Evidently the bullpen is not expected to an issue and the D-Backs have slithered from -152 to -170 versus the Padres. Taijuan Walker (2-1, 4.57 ERA) goes for the Snakes against veteran Jered Weaver (0-1,3.91) of San Diego. Even with last night’s fluky result, Arizona is still 10-3 at Chase Field.
Betting Trend – 97% backing Arizona
Doug’s VPID Take – Arizona wins
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MLB – (963) HOUSTON at (964) CLEVELAND 6:10 ET RTSW, STO
Neither Cleveland’s Corey Kluber (2-1, 4.28) nor Houston’s Mike Fiers (0-1, 5.40) has been exactly moving down opposing hitters this season and with that the total has risen from 8 to 8.5. Both teams have been scoring runs of late which also builds into the belief and extra run or two could be tallied. While the situation appears ripe for a higher score, Houston has some starters out, both starting pitchers have a good history against their opponent and the bullpens are rock solid. A 4-3 final is my call.
Betting Trend – 58% backing Over
Doug’s VPID Take – Lean Under
MLB – (965) N.Y. YANKEES at (966) BOSTON 7:10 ET YES, NESN
Just the fact Chris Sale (1-1, 0.91) is pitching is reason enough to lower the score. The lefty could hardly be more dominant and the total is following his lead in dropping from 7.5 to 7. The wild card seems to be Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 6.00), who has gotten off to a sputtering start. I can definitely see a game like last night which had four total runs.
Betting Trend – 61% backing Under
Doug’s VPID Take – Play Under
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 51% to 79% – 99-109-4 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) – 80% or Higher – 46-51-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) – 139-158-5 ATS